TRX/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-28 12:00 UTC 39 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.21 %

Entry

0.3311

Target

0.3277 +1.03 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.3334 −0.69 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 1 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.03 % per trade 1,718 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,718 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

31 % at target avg +2.67 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.81 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.91 % 21 % at stop avg −3.75 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 10 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 31 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, HMA Direction Down, HMA Retreat Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 30,404 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

53.9 % – first candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 38 % (8.40) ▼ Bearish 63 % (14.00)

model score 62.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 17.1 % vs 31.9 % on average · stopped out 31.4 % vs 22.6 % (crypto, 1,977 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for TRX/USDT

Full calendar

18:00TodayUSDFed Interest Rate Decision●●●Previous 4.00%in 1h
18:30TodayUSDFOMC Press Conference●●●in 1h
12:30TomorrowUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●Forecast 199KPrevious 194Kin 19h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 16:02 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	1.95
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	1.92
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.83
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.70
▲	KST Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.66
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	1.61
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.60
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.43
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	CTI OB Entry	indicator	1.36
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.27
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.27
▲	MAMA Cross Up	indicator	1.25
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.22
▼	Closing Marubozu Bearish	candlestick	0.96

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish 4H signal with multiple overbought exits, but strength is weak and probability only 62%.
Higher timeframes (30m-12h) are bullish, creating a conflict that weakens the bearish case.
Key levels: support at 0.32770 and resistance at 0.33170; a break of support would confirm bearishness.
Watch for price action to confirm the signal before acting, given the choppy and mixed trend context.

The 4H signal stack is firmly bearish, with a cluster of overbought-exit indicators (CCI, STOCH, WILLR) and a BOP zero cross down suggesting that buying pressure has peaked and is now reversing. The MAMA Cross Up and EMA 200 retreat down add a layer of trend-structure weakness, while the BBANDS upper retreat down indicates that price is pulling back from an overextended upper band. However, the broader context is mixed: while the 1D trend is bearish, all timeframes from 30m up to 12h are bullish, albeit with choppy/sideways action and weak trend scores. This suggests the bearish signal may be a short-term correction within a larger bullish bias, or the beginning of a reversal if the higher timeframes start to turn.

Key levels to watch are the nearest support at 0.32770 and resistance at 0.33170. A break below support would validate the bearish signal and could accelerate selling, while a hold and bounce above resistance would argue for the continuation of the bullish higher-timeframe trend. Given the weak strength and low probability, traders should treat this as a cautionary signal rather than a strong directional call, and wait for confirmation from price action or higher-timeframe shifts.

Catalysts

▼ Cluster of overbought exits (CCI, STOCH, WILLR) and BOP zero cross down indicate momentum shift.
▼ MAMA Cross Up and EMA 200 retreat down suggest underlying trend weakness.
▼ 1D timeframe is bearish, providing longer-term alignment with the signal.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (30m-12h) are bullish, which could override the 4H bearish signal.
▲ Weak strength and low probability reduce the signal's reliability.
▲ Choppy/sideways trends across most timeframes indicate indecision; a false signal is possible.
▲ If price holds above support and breaks resistance, the bearish signal would be invalidated.