USD/CAD – 8H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-28 05:00 UTC 23 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.05 %

Entry

1.40404

Target

1.37593 +2.00 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.43000 −1.85 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 10

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 47 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 277 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 277 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.65 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.42 % 34 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.42 % 19 % at stop avg −0.60 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MA Retreat Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, VIDYA Retreat Down +12 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 30,404 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

55.7 % – first candle

MODERATE Swing

▲ Bullish 28 % (12.36) ▼ Bearish 72 % (31.47)

model score 71.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar

13:45TodayCADBoC Rate Statement●●○in 21m
13:45TodayCADBoC Interest Rate Decision●●●Previous 2.25%in 21m
13:45TodayCADBoC Monetary Policy Report●●○in 21m

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	2.69
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.50
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.50
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.47
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.41
▼	VIDYA Retreat Down	indicator	2.29
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	2.06
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.69
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.62
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▲	RSX Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.38
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.37
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.30
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.10
▼	Last Engulfing Bottom	candlestick	0.97
▼	Last Engulfing Top	candlestick	0.96
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	0.84

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A cluster of bearish indicators on the 8H chart points to continued downside momentum.
Trend alignment is predominantly bearish across timeframes, except for the 12H which is bullish.
Watch the 1.43000 resistance for invalidation and 1.37593 support as the downside target.
Given the 12H bullish trend, this could be a correction; manage risk accordingly.

The USD/CAD 8H signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish indicators, including BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, DI Cross Down, DM Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, EMA 200 Retreat Down, and MA Retreat Down, alongside more than a dozen additional signals. This confluence indicates strong selling pressure and momentum shift to the downside on the 8H timeframe. The bearish alignment is supported by solid downtrends on the 15m, 30m, and 1D timeframes, while the 8H itself shows a solid trend (3/5). However, the 12H timeframe is bullish, which suggests that the selloff may be a correction within a larger uptrend, adding caution to the signal.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 1.43000, which now acts as a ceiling for any bounce, and the nearest support at 1.37593, which is the immediate downside target. A break below support could accelerate the decline, while a recovery above 1.43000 would invalidate the bearish setup. The moderate strength and 71% probability reflect solid but not extreme conviction, so traders should watch for confirmation on lower timeframes and be ready for potential whipsaws given the conflicting 12H trend.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple bearish crossovers and oscillator exits firing together on the 8H timeframe.
▼ Solid bearish trends on 15m, 30m, and 1D timeframes aligning with the 8H signal.
▼ Price retreating from both EMA 200 and moving average, indicating strong trend continuation.
▼ High probability (71%) and moderate strength suggest a reasonable risk/reward for shorts.

Risk Factors

▲ The 12H timeframe is bullish, which could mean the selloff is only a temporary pullback.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 1.43000 would invalidate the bearish signal.
▲ Some timeframes (2H and 4H) show choppy or forming trends, reducing overall conviction.
▲ Momentum may fade if price approaches support at 1.37593, leading to a bounce.