USD/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY NEW
24 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.00 %
Entry
157.952
Target
158.344 +0.25 %
closes in profit
Stop
156.649 −0.82 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average −1.09 % per trade 1,316 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,316 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −9.17 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Retreat Up, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up, MAMA PRICE Retreat Up +12 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 30,404 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % – first candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +3% Intraday
▲ Bullish 93 % (46.09) ▼ Bearish 7 % (3.51)
model score 92.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
USD/JPY  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDEIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change●●○Forecast -0.103MPrevious 0.987Min 1h
  • TodayUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●Forecast -2.067MPrevious -3.060Min 1h
  • TodayUSDFed Interest Rate Decision●●●Previous 4.00%in 4h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ ALMA Retreat Up indicator 2.62
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 2.43
▲ MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.42
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 2.40
▲ MIDPOINT Retreat Up indicator 2.40
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 2.34
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 2.32
▲ SMA Retreat Up indicator 2.32
▲ MIDPRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.27
▲ HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend indicator 2.14
▲ HMA Retreat Up indicator 2.04
▲ SAR Flip Bullish indicator 1.97
▲ SMI Signal Cross Up indicator 1.88
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.72
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.31
▼ WILLR OB Entry indicator 1.17
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 1.12
▼ AO Saucer Bearish indicator 1.03

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish signal on the 1H chart with multiple indicators aligning.
  • Uptrend is present on lower timeframes, but higher timeframes (8H+) are bearish.
  • Key resistance at 158.34400; a break above could signal further upside.
  • Key support at 156.64900; a drop below would invalidate the bullish setup.
The USD/JPY 1H signal is strongly bullish, with a 92% probability and very strong strength, driven by a broad cluster of momentum and trend-following indicators. The BOP Zero Cross Up points to improving buying pressure, while the WILLR OB Entry indicates the market is in an overbought zone but with continued upward momentum. The multiple 'Retreat Up' signals (EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT) all confirm a pullback within an uptrend, suggesting that buyers are stepping in at higher levels.

Across timeframes, the trend is bullish from 15m up to 4h, though mostly choppy/sideways with a 1/5 trend score. The 2h timeframe shows a forming trend (2/5), indicating some early trend development. However, the 8h, 12h, and 1d timeframes are bearish, which creates a conflicting higher-timeframe outlook. The nearest resistance is at 158.34400, and nearest support is at 156.64900. A break above resistance could open the door for further upside, while a drop below support would invalidate the bullish setup.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple 'Retreat Up' signals indicate a pullback within an uptrend, with buyers stepping in.
  • ▲ BOP Zero Cross Up confirms improving buying pressure.
  • ▲ WILLR OB Entry shows strong momentum, though overbought.
  • ▲ Trend alignment across 15m to 4h supports the bullish move.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, which could cap upside or reverse the trend.
  • ▼ The overbought WILLR condition may lead to a pullback or consolidation.
  • ▼ Choppy/sideways conditions on most timeframes suggest limited trend strength.
  • ▼ A break below the nearest support at 156.64900 would invalidate the bullish signal.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 93%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-28 11:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 158.34400 2026-10-21
R2 158.39100 2026-10-21
R3 158.60300 2026-10-20
S1 156.64900 2026-10-26
S2 156.31100 2026-10-23
S3 156.07500 2026-10-23

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