USD/JPY – 1D – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-10-28 01:10 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.10 %

Entry

157.705

Target

152.883 +3.06 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.949 −0.79 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 8 candles (8 days), at the market price · now candle 1 of 8

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 6,241 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 6,241 closed forex signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.36 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.18 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.19 % 12 % at stop avg −0.43 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, APO Zero Cross Down, EMA 50 Retreat Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % – vs previous candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +38% Position

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (41.42)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

15:00TomorrowUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 22h
15:00TomorrowUSDFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast 0.1%Previous 0.1%in 22h
13:15November 4, 2026USDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.77
▲	MACD Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.74
▲	VORTEX Cross Up	indicator	1.64
▲	MAMA Cross Up	indicator	1.62
▲	CCI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.58
▼	APO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.50
▼	EMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.36
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.24
▼	Bearish Meeting Lines	candlestick	1.09
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.05
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.00
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	0.53

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signals dominate the daily chart, but the trend is weak and mixed across timeframes.
Key support at 152.88300 is the level to watch for confirmation of further downside.
Resistance at 158.94900 must hold to keep the bearish scenario valid.
Conflicting bullish signals (CCI, MACD, MAMA) suggest the bearish move may lack momentum.

The USD/JPY daily chart has fired a cluster of bearish signals, including APO Zero Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, and EMA 50 Retreat Down, alongside retreat signals from SMA and HT TRENDLINE. These indicators collectively point to fading upside momentum and a potential shift toward lower prices. The bearish case is reinforced by a bearish trend across the 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes, with the 15m showing a solid trend. However, the higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are mixed, with several showing bullish or choppy conditions, suggesting the bearish signal is not yet fully aligned across all horizons.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 158.94900 and the nearest support at 152.88300. A sustained move below the support could confirm the bearish bias, while a reclaim of the resistance would invalidate the signal. The presence of conflicting signals, such as CCI Zero Cross Up and MACD Zero Cross Up, along with MAMA Cross Up, adds uncertainty, meaning the bearish outlook is not without counter-signals. Traders should monitor price action around these levels and the strength of the trend on higher timeframes before committing.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple bearish indicator signals (APO, BOP, EMA 50, SMA, HT TRENDLINE) align on the daily chart.
▼ Shorter timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are all bearish, supporting near-term downside.
▼ The 15m timeframe shows a solid trend, indicating consistent selling pressure in the short term.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (2h, 8h) are bullish, which could counteract the bearish signal.
▲ The presence of bullish crossovers (CCI, MACD, MAMA) suggests potential upward momentum.
▲ A break above the resistance at 158.94900 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Weak trend scores on the daily and other higher timeframes indicate the bearish move may lack follow-through.