USD/JPY – 2H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-28 15:00 UTC 13 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.21 %

Entry

158.201

Target

156.075 +1.34 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.603 −0.25 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 14

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 829 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 829 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.41 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.50 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%), ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat, STOCHF KD Cross Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 30,404 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

STRONG ⚡ Confluence +15% Intraday

▲ Bullish 22 % (2.43) ▼ Bearish 78 % (8.39)

model score 77.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.4 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 16.0 % vs 12.5 % (forex, 619 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

Loading…

Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

12:30TomorrowUSDPCE Price Index m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.3%in 17h
12:30TomorrowUSDCore PCE Price Index y/y●●●Forecast 3.1%Previous 3.0%in 17h
12:30TomorrowUSDCore PCE Price Index m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.2%in 17h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	RSI OB Exit	indicator	2.43
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.72
▼	ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.42
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.27
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.16
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	0.87
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.82

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence on the 2H chart: multiple indicators and candlestick patterns align for a sell.
Higher timeframes (4H-1D) are bearish, supporting the 2H sell signal despite short-term bullishness.
Watch the 156.07500 support: a break below it would confirm further downside.
Resistance at 158.60300 is the key invalidation level; a close above it would negate the bearish setup.

The SELL signal on USD/JPY at the 2H timeframe is backed by a confluence of bearish signals: the BOP Zero Cross Down indicates deteriorating buying pressure, RSI OB Exit signals a pullback from overbought conditions, STOCHF KD Cross Down confirms short-term momentum shifting lower, and ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat shows price retreating from the upper band. The bearish candlestick patterns (Bearish Harami, Tweezers Top) add reversal confirmation, while the Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) suggests price has broken below a key retracement level, opening the door for further downside.

Across timeframes, the trend is mixed: the 2H and lower timeframes (15m-1h) are bullish, but the higher timeframes (4H-1D) are bearish, albeit choppy. This creates a conflicting picture, but the 2H signal aligns with the higher-timeframe bearish bias, suggesting that the current pullback could be the start of a larger move down. Key levels to watch are resistance at 158.60300 and support at 156.07500. A break below support would confirm the bearish continuation, while a move back above resistance would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators (BOP, RSI, STOCHF, ACCBANDS) all point to bearish momentum.
▼ Bearish candlestick patterns (Bearish Harami, Tweezers Top) provide reversal confirmation.
▼ Fibonacci break below the 24% retracement level suggests a shift in market structure.
▼ Higher timeframe trend (4H-1D) is bearish, aligning with the 2H sell signal.

Risk Factors

▲ Short-term timeframes (15m-1H) are bullish, which could lead to a bounce before the move down.
▲ The 2H trend itself is currently bullish, which may conflict with the sell signal.
▲ If price breaks above the 158.60300 resistance, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
▲ Momentum could fade if the RSI and STOCHF quickly recover from oversold levels.