AUD/JPY – 2H – SELL

SELL 10× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-28 20:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.69 %

Entry

111.319

Target

109.489 +1.64 %

closes in profit

Stop

112.764 −1.30 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price

So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 900 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 900 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.41 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat, ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat, STOCH KD Cross Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.7 % vs 17.7 % on average · stopped out 13.4 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 853 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

04:30TomorrowAUDRBA Rate Statement●●○in 14h
04:30TomorrowAUDRBA Monetary Policy Statement●●○in 14h
04:30TomorrowAUDRBA Interest Rate Decision●●●Previous 4.60%in 14h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 10× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.35
▲	RSI OB Exit	indicator	2.23
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.49
▼	ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.48
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.36
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.28
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.17
▼	Collapsing Doji Star	candlestick	1.09
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.07
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	0.94

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signals on the 2H chart suggest a short-term pullback or reversal, but the broader trend remains bullish across all timeframes.
Key support to watch is 109.48900; a break below could signal a deeper correction, while a bounce would reinforce the bullish trend.
The confluence of multiple overbought exits and downward crossovers adds weight to the bearish case, but the bullish higher timeframe trend limits downside expectations.
Expect choppy price action as the short-term bearish momentum clashes with the prevailing bullish structure.

The AUD/JPY 2H chart has triggered a cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, RSI OB Exit, STOCH KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, ER Level Cross Down, KDJ Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down, and ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat. These indicators collectively suggest that the recent upward momentum is stalling and that a short-term pullback or reversal may be underway. The confluence of multiple overbought exits and downward crossovers on the 2H timeframe strengthens the bearish case, though the overall trend across higher timeframes remains bullish.

Despite the bearish signals on the 2H chart, the trend across all timeframes from 15 minutes up to the daily is bullish, with the strongest alignment on the lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) showing solid trends. This creates a conflict between the immediate bearish momentum and the broader bullish structure. The nearest support is at 109.48900, which is a critical level to watch; a break below this could confirm a deeper correction, while a bounce from this level would suggest the pullback is merely a pause within the larger uptrend. Traders should treat this as a short-term counter-trend opportunity with caution, given the bullish higher timeframe context.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple overbought exit signals (RSI, WILLR) and downward crossovers (STOCH, KDJ) on the 2H chart.
▼ The BOP Zero Cross Down and ER Level Cross Down indicate deteriorating buying pressure.
▼ The HMA Retreat Down and ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat suggest price is pulling back from upper volatility bands.
▼ The bearish signals are clustered at a potential local top, increasing the likelihood of a corrective move.

Risk Factors

▲ The bullish trend across all timeframes, especially the solid trends on lower timeframes, could overpower the bearish signals and lead to a resumption of the uptrend.
▲ The nearest resistance is listed as N/A, meaning there is no clear overhead level to cap upside if the pullback fails.
▲ The bearish signals are on the 2H timeframe only; higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are still bullish, which could limit the depth of any decline.
▲ A failure to break below the 109.48900 support would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a sharp bounce.