BTC/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-11-02 13:00 UTC 56 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.22 %

Entry

77,712.00

Target

77,450.00 +0.34 %

closes in profit

Stop

78,878.01 −1.50 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 12,961 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 12,961 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.09 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.10 % 24 % at stop avg −1.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 30 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Break Down, MAMA PRICE Break Down, ALMA Break Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

39.0 % ↓ −28.1 vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 8 % (2.98) ▼ Bearish 92 % (32.15)

model score 15.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar

15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 31m
15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 31m
15:00TomorrowUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Nov 2026, 13:32 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	SMA CROSS 50 200 Golden Cross	indicator	2.98
▼	MIDPOINT Break Down	indicator	2.76
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	2.35
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.32
▼	EMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross	indicator	1.93
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.93
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.89
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.84
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.79
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	1.78
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.72
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.70
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.19

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish indicators fired on the 30-minute chart, including a Death Cross and multiple moving-average retreats.
All timeframes from 15 minutes to daily are bearish, but most are in a trend-forming or choppy phase, not a strong trend.
Watch the 77,620 support level; a break below would confirm the bearish move, while a reclaim of 78,878 resistance would invalidate it.
The signal has 91% probability and very strong strength, but the choppy lower timeframes suggest a possible corrective move.

The BTC/USDT 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Death Cross on the 20/50 EMA, retreats below the DEMA, EMA, KAMA, and MA trend lines, plus a break down through the MAMA price and midpoint. This confluence of momentum and trend-following indicators points to a strong short-term bearish push, with the signal probability at 91% and very strong strength. Across timeframes, the bias is uniformly bearish, though the 30-minute and 1-hour charts are choppy/sideways with low trend scores, suggesting the current leg may be part of a broader corrective move rather than a clean trend.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 78,878.01 and support at 77,620.00. A decisive break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the setup. The alignment of multiple moving-average retreats and the Death Cross adds weight to the sell signal, but the choppy conditions on the lower timeframes warrant caution against overextending positions.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) and a Death Cross on the 20/50 EMA.
▼ Break down through MAMA price and midpoint adds to the bearish confluence.
▼ Uniform bearish bias across all timeframes from 15m to 1d supports the sell signal.
▼ High signal probability (91%) and very strong strength indicate robust indicator agreement.

Risk Factors

▲ The 30-minute and 1-hour charts are choppy/sideways with low trend scores (1/5), which could lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.
▲ The 15-minute and higher timeframes are only 'trend forming' (2/5), not established trends, so momentum may be limited.
▲ If price reclaims the 78,878 resistance level, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
▲ Nearby support at 77,620 could act as a strong floor, causing a bounce and reversing the short-term bearish move.