AVAX/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-29 08:00 UTC 19 hours ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −1.30 %

Entry

8.7760

Target

10.0540 +14.56 %

closes in profit

Stop

8.6620 −1.30 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.02 % per trade 1,758 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,758 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

31 % at target avg +2.66 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.82 % 25 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.85 % 21 % at stop avg −3.70 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MACD Regular Bull Div, Momentum Regular Bull Div, RSI Regular Bull Div +7 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 17.4 % vs 32.0 % on average · stopped out 31.3 % vs 22.7 % (crypto, 2,004 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

13:45TodayUSDMNI Chicago Business Barometer●●○Forecast 61.3Previous 58.8in 6h
15:00November 2, 2026USDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 3 days
15:00November 2, 2026USDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 12:02 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MACD Regular Bull Div	divergence	3.26
▲	Momentum Regular Bull Div	divergence	3.09
▲	RSI Regular Bull Div	divergence	3.06
▲	Williams %R Regular Bull Div	divergence	2.71
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	1.66
▼	FISHER Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.52
▲	APO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.49
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.46
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.45
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.38
▲	Long Line Bullish	candlestick	1.09

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong oversold bounce signal on 4H, but it's counter-trend to the dominant bearish higher timeframes.
Watch the 10.05400 resistance—a decisive break could turn the bounce into a larger reversal.
If price loses 8.66200 support, the bullish signal is invalidated and the bearish trend resumes.
Expect choppy, sideways action in the lower timeframes; the bounce may lack follow-through.

The 4H signal fires a dense cluster of momentum and mean-reversion indicators—APO Zero Cross Up, CCI OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit—along with HT SINE and FISHER Zero Cross Down, plus a ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit and Long Line Bullish. Together these suggest that the recent sharp downtrend has reached an exhaustion point, with oscillators snapping back from oversold territory and trend-detection filters confirming a reversal impulse. The candlestick group adds confirmation of bullish price action at the local swing low.

However, the broader timeframe picture is firmly bearish: 8H and 12H show solid downtrends (3/5), and 4H itself is still labeled bearish (2/5). Only the 15m and 30m are bullish, and they are choppy/sideways. This is a classic counter-trend bounce setup—strong momentum reversal on the lower timeframe but against the higher-timeframe trend. The nearest resistance at 10.05400 looms as the first major hurdle; a break above it would shift the balance, while the nearest support at 8.66200 is the invalidation zone if the bounce fails.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oversold-exit indicators (CCI, WILLR, ZSCORE) align on the same candle, increasing confidence in a reversal.
▲ Zero-cross events on HT SINE and FISHER confirm a shift in cyclical and trend filters.
▲ Long Line Bullish adds a candlestick-based confirmation of bullish momentum at the local low.
▲ The probability score of 92% and 'very strong' strength reflect high confluence among the fired signals.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H) are solidly bearish, which often caps counter-trend bounces.
▼ The 4H timeframe itself is still labeled bearish—the signal fires against the prevailing trend.
▼ Nearest resistance at 10.05400 is close; a rejection there would likely resume the downtrend.
▼ If price breaks below 8.66200 support, the bullish setup is invalidated and downside momentum could accelerate.