EUR/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL 7× UPDATED CLOSED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.09 %
Entry
176.311
Target
175.394 +0.52 %
closes in profit
Stop
177.767 −0.83 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,483 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,483 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
15 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
EUR/JPY  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/JPY

Full calendar
  • TomorrowEURUnemployment Change●●○Forecast 27.971KPrevious 23.587Kin 17h
  • TomorrowEURCPI●●●Previous 104.31in 19h
  • TomorrowEURCPI y/y●●●Forecast 3.4%Previous 3.8%in 19h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 1h 21%
conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ HMA Retreat Down indicator 2.04
▼ SMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.73
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.55
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.39
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.28

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish confluence on 1H with five indicators firing together.
  • Higher timeframes (2H to 1D) are bearish, supporting the sell signal.
  • Watch the 175.394 support: a break confirms the downtrend, while a rise above 176.398 resistance would invalidate it.
  • Short-term bullish noise on 15M/30M may cause choppy price action but is unlikely to reverse the broader bearish trend.
The 1H EUR/JPY signal fires a strong bearish cluster as five indicators align: BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down, and HMA Retreat Down. These indicators together suggest a shift in momentum, a breakdown of the 200-SMA support, and a loss of phase coherence, all pointing to a decisive move lower on the 1H timeframe. The probability is rated at 100% with very strong strength, indicating a high-conviction sell signal.

Across higher timeframes, the bearish trend is well supported: the 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D are all bearish, with the 8H and 12H showing solid trend scores (3/5). This alignment across multiple timeframes reinforces the 1H signal, suggesting the bearish move is part of a broader downtrend. However, the 15M and 30M timeframes are still bullish, though choppy and weak (1-2/5), which could introduce short-term noise. The nearest resistance sits at 176.398, and the nearest support is at 175.394; a break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple indicators (BOP, STOCHF, SMA 200, HT PHASOR, HMA) all point to the same bearish move on 1H.
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (2H-1D) are all bearish, providing strong trend alignment.
  • ▼ The 8H and 12H show solid trend scores (3/5), indicating a well-established downtrend.
  • ▼ The SMA 200 retreat down suggests a breakdown of a key dynamic support level.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 15M and 30M timeframes are still bullish, which could lead to short-term countertrend bounces.
  • ▲ If price climbs above the nearest resistance at 176.398, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
  • ▲ The 1H trend is only choppy/sideways (1/5), so the immediate momentum may not be as strong as the signal suggests.
  • ▲ A rapid reversal could occur if the higher-timeframe trend (8H/12H) shows signs of fading or if a bullish catalyst emerges.
Symbol EUR/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 21%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-29 18:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 176.39800 2026-10-28
R2 176.43300 2026-10-26
R3 177.76700 2026-10-21
S1 175.39400 2026-10-28
S2 175.09800 2026-10-23

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