EUR/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW
13 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.01 %
Entry
176.039
Target
175.394 +0.37 %
closes in profit
Stop
176.398 −0.20 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,581 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,581 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: T3 Break Down, HMA Retreat Down, ALMA Break Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
59.3 % – first candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +3% Scalping
▲ Bullish 15 % (3.47) ▼ Bearish 85 % (20.25)
model score 85.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.5 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 15.4 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 631 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayEURECB Monetary Policy Statement●●○in 30m
  • TodayEURECB Interest Rate Decision●●●Previous 2.65%in 30m
  • TodayEURECB Deposit Facility Rate Decision●●●Previous 2.50%in 30m

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ T3 Break Down indicator 2.64
▼ HMA Retreat Down indicator 2.64
▼ ALMA Break Down indicator 2.56
▲ CCI OB Exit indicator 2.34
▼ EMA 200 Break Down indicator 2.17
▼ ZLMA Retreat Down indicator 2.05
▼ BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down indicator 2.03
▼ HMA Direction Down indicator 1.20
▼ Spinning Top Bearish candlestick 1.11
▲ Matching Low candlestick 1.03

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal on the 30M chart with multiple moving average breakdowns and an overbought exit.
  • Higher timeframes (4H-12H) are bearish, supporting the short-term sell bias.
  • Watch the 175.394 support; a break would confirm the downtrend, while 176.398 resistance is the invalidation level.
  • The recent bullish bounce is weak and choppy, likely to fade.
The 30-minute EUR/JPY signal is strongly bearish, with an 85% probability and very strong strength, driven by a cluster of momentum and trend-following indicators. The CCI OB Exit confirms a loss of upside momentum after an overbought condition, while the retreats and breakdowns of multiple moving averages (BBANDS Upper, EMA 200, T3, ALMA, HMA, ZLMA) indicate that the recent bullish push has stalled and price is now trading below key dynamic levels. This confluence suggests a shift in short-term bias, with sellers taking control.

Across timeframes, the bearish signal is supported by the higher timeframes: the 4H, 8H, and 12H are all bearish, with the 8H and 12H showing solid trends (strength 3/5). The lower timeframes (15M, 30M, 1H, 2H) are still bullish but choppy and weak, indicating that the recent bounce is fragile and likely to reverse. The alignment of the medium-term trend with the short-term signal increases the probability of a sustained move lower. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 176.398, which now acts as a ceiling, and the nearest support at 175.394. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Trend alignment: Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) are bearish, with solid trends on 8H and 12H.
  • ▼ Confluence of indicators: Multiple moving averages (BBANDS, EMA, T3, ALMA, HMA, ZLMA) all retreating or breaking down.
  • ▼ CCI OB Exit signals a loss of upside momentum after an overbought condition.
  • ▼ Strong signal strength (85% probability, very strong) increases conviction.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Lower timeframes (15M-2H) are still bullish, though choppy; a renewed push could stall the sell-off.
  • ▲ The nearest resistance at 176.398 is close; if price reclaims it, the bearish signal is invalidated.
  • ▲ Momentum could fade if the 30M timeframe turns sideways, as seen in the choppy trend scores.
  • ▲ The 1D timeframe is only trend forming (2/5), so the longer-term bearish case is not fully established.
Symbol EUR/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 85%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-29 12:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 176.39800 2026-10-28
R2 176.43300 2026-10-26
S1 175.39400 2026-10-28
S2 175.09800 2026-10-23

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