EUR/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW
13 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.01 %
Entry
176.280
Target
175.394 +0.50 %
closes in profit
Stop
177.098 −0.46 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,581 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,581 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Down, ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, STOCH KD Cross Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
53.6 % – first candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +3% Scalping
▲ Bullish 39 % (6.31) ▼ Bearish 61 % (9.93)
model score 61.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
EUR/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayJPYUnemployment Rate●●○in 4h
  • TodayJPYTokyo Core CPI y/y●●○Forecast 2.5%Previous 2.7%in 4h
  • TodayJPYTokyo CPI excl. Food and Energy y/y●●●Forecast 3.0%Previous 3.0%in 4h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ HMA Retreat Down indicator 2.55
▲ CCI OB Exit indicator 2.34
▲ KDJ OB Exit indicator 2.21
▼ ZSCORE Extreme High Exit indicator 1.89
▲ ICHIMOKU TK Cross Up indicator 1.76
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.48
▼ DX Trend Weak indicator 1.08
▼ Long Line Bearish candlestick 1.05

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bearish momentum signals on 30M suggest a pullback from overbought levels, but strength is weak.
  • Higher timeframes (8H, 12H) are solidly bearish, supporting the sell bias, but short-term (15M-1H) is still bullish.
  • Watch the 175.394 support: a break below would confirm the bearish move, while 176.398 resistance is the invalidation zone.
  • The Ichimoku cross and long line bearish add confluence, but the weak signal strength calls for caution.
The 30-minute EUR/JPY signal is a confluence of bearish momentum indicators firing together, including CCI OB Exit, STOCH KD Cross Down, KDJ OB Exit, HMA Retreat Down, and ZSCORE Extreme High Exit. These suggest that the recent upside push has exhausted itself and is reversing from overbought conditions. The Ichimoku TK Cross Up and Long Line Bearish add a layer of confirmation, indicating a potential shift in the short-term trend structure. However, the signal strength is weak, and the probability is only 61%, so traders should treat this as a tactical pullback rather than a strong reversal.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bearish on higher timeframes. The 8h and 12h charts show a solid bearish trend (3/5), while the 2h and 4h are bearish but choppy. The 15m to 1h timeframes are still bullish, which creates a conflict. This suggests that the sell signal may be an early warning of a larger bearish move, but the short-term bullish bias could delay or invalidate it. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 176.398 and support at 175.394. A break below support would strengthen the bearish case, while a reclaim of resistance would signal a failed reversal.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple overbought exit signals (CCI, KDJ, ZSCORE) align, indicating momentum exhaustion.
  • ▼ Higher timeframe trend (8H, 12H) is solidly bearish, providing macro support.
  • ▼ Key resistance at 176.398 is nearby, and a rejection there would reinforce the sell signal.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Short-term timeframes (15M, 30M, 1H) are still bullish, which could override the bearish signal.
  • ▲ Signal strength is weak (61% probability), so the move may be shallow or fail.
  • ▲ If price breaks above 176.398 resistance, the bearish thesis is invalidated.
  • ▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on 30M-4H could lead to whipsaws and false signals.
Symbol EUR/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 61%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-29 18:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 176.39800 2026-10-28
R2 176.43300 2026-10-26
S1 175.39400 2026-10-28
S2 175.09800 2026-10-23

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