EUR/USD – 1H – BUY
BUY NEW
18 minutes ago
The plan for this signal
Running · now +0.10 %
Entry
1.11609
Target
1.12267 +0.59 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.11134 −0.43 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,345 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,345 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 %
36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 %
36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 %
12 % at stop avg −0.39 %
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: MIDPRICE Break Up, KAMA Break Up, SAR Flip Bullish +26 more
Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 %
– first candle
VERY STRONG
Intraday
▲ Bullish 95 % (48.68)
▼ Bearish 5 % (2.75)
model score 94.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes.
Target hit 11.2 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 14.5 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 546 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
Loading…
Signal evolution
Events for EUR/USD
Full calendar- TodayUSD7-Year Note Auction●●○Previous 5.085%in 1h
- TomorrowEURConsumer Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous -0.5%in 15h
- TomorrowEURGDP y/y●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.5%in 15h
All times UTC.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(29 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
Trend Context
15MUPChoppy / sideways
30MUPChoppy / sideways
1HDOWNChoppy / sideways
2HDOWNTrend forming
4HDOWNTrend forming
8HDOWNChoppy / sideways
12HDOWNTrend forming
1DDOWNVery strong trend
Analysis
🎯 Key Takeaways
- A cluster of momentum indicators (AROON, MACD, CMO, MOM) fired bullish on the 1H chart, suggesting a short-term upward push.
- The higher timeframes (2H through 1D) are all bearish, with the 1D showing a very strong downtrend, so this is likely a counter-trend move.
- Watch the nearest resistance at 1.11685; if that level holds, the bullish move may stall or reverse.
- Support at 1.11134 is the key invalidation level for the bullish signal; a break below would negate the bounce.
The 1H EUR/USD signal fires a cluster of momentum and oscillator indicators at 18:00 UTC, including AROON Cross Up, MACD Signal Cross Up, and CCI OS Exit, all pointing to a bullish impulse. However, the broader trend context is heavily bearish: the 1D timeframe shows a very strong downtrend (4/5), and all higher timeframes from 2H up are bearish. The 15m and 30m are bullish but choppy, indicating that this signal may represent a short-term counter-trend bounce rather than a reversal.
Key levels to watch are resistance at 1.11685 and support at 1.11134. The nearest resistance is only about 55 pips above the current price, while support is roughly 40 pips below. Given the strong bearish higher-timeframe trend, the bullish signal is likely to face significant overhead supply. The probability of 94% and very strong strength suggest the immediate momentum is real, but traders should be cautious about expecting sustained upside beyond the first resistance zone.
Key levels to watch are resistance at 1.11685 and support at 1.11134. The nearest resistance is only about 55 pips above the current price, while support is roughly 40 pips below. Given the strong bearish higher-timeframe trend, the bullish signal is likely to face significant overhead supply. The probability of 94% and very strong strength suggest the immediate momentum is real, but traders should be cautious about expecting sustained upside beyond the first resistance zone.
Catalysts
- ▲ Multiple oscillator cross-ups (AROON, CMO, MOM) and MACD signal cross-up provide strong confluence for immediate upward momentum.
- ▲ The 15m and 30m timeframes are also bullish, aligning with the 1H signal for a near-term push.
- ▲ The signal strength is very strong with a 94% probability, indicating high conviction in the short-term move.
- ▲ The bounce is occurring from a support area, which may provide a temporary floor.
Risk Factors
- ▼ The dominant 1D trend is bearish and very strong (4/5), which could overwhelm any counter-trend bounce.
- ▼ The nearest resistance at 1.11685 is close; if price fails to break above it, the bullish signal may quickly fade.
- ▼ The 1H and 2H timeframes are bearish, so the bullish signal is isolated to the lower timeframes, reducing its reliability for a sustained move.
- ▼ If price breaks below the support at 1.11134, the bullish signal is invalidated and the bearish trend likely resumes.
Symbol
EUR/USD
Timeframe
1H
Direction
BUY
Conviction
95%
Strength
VERY STRONG
Date
2026-10-29 14:00
cat_ Forex
Forex
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.11685 | 2026-10-28 |
| R2 | 1.12267 | 2026-10-26 |
| R3 | 1.12560 | 2026-10-22 |
| S1 | 1.11134 | 2026-10-28 |