USD/CAD – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-29 14:00 UTC 18 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.03 %

Entry

1.39896

Target

1.39421 +0.34 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.40686 −0.56 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,345 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,345 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down +14 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +2% Intraday

▲ Bullish 9 % (3.63) ▼ Bearish 91 % (37.59)

model score 91.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar

17:00TodayUSD7-Year Note Auction●●○Previous 5.085%in 1h
12:30TomorrowCADGDP m/m●●●Forecast 0.1%Previous 0.0%in 21h
12:30TomorrowUSDEmployment Cost Index q/q●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.9%in 21h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.44
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.38
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.32
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.16
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	2.04
▲	RSX Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.94
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.74
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	1.68
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.63
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.37
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.37
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.25
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.23
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.11
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	1.10

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on 1H with 91% probability, backed by a broad set of momentum indicators.
Trend alignment is bearish across 1H to 1D, but 15m/30m are still bullish and choppy, so expect possible short-term pullbacks.
Watch the nearest resistance at 1.40686 as a potential invalidation level; a break above would weaken the bearish case.
Target the nearest support at 1.39699; a break below could open further downside, but confirmation is needed.

The 1H USD/CAD signal is strongly bearish, firing a broad cluster of momentum and trend indicators: BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, CMO Zero Cross Down, DI/DM Cross Down, RSI Midline Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, among others. This confluence suggests a decisive shift from bullish to bearish momentum on the 1H timeframe, with a very strong probability (91%). The trend across timeframes aligns: while the 15m and 30m are still bullish but choppy, the 1H through 1D are all bearish, with the 2H and 1D showing solid trends. This alignment indicates that the bearish move is not isolated but part of a broader downtrend, though the higher timeframes still show trend-forming strength (2/5) rather than full strength.

Key levels to watch are nearest resistance at 1.40686 and nearest support at 1.39699. The bearish signal suggests price is likely to test the support level, with a break below it potentially extending the decline. However, the 15m and 30m bullish choppiness could cause short-term pullbacks toward the resistance. Traders should view the resistance as a key invalidation zone if price reclaims it, and the support as a target for the current move. The strong signal probability and multi-timeframe bearish alignment provide a high-conviction setup, but the choppy lower timeframes warrant caution against premature entries.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, CCI, CMO, DI/DM, RSI, STOCHF) all crossing down on the 1H, creating strong confluence.
▼ Bearish trend alignment across 1H, 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes, with 2H and 1D showing solid trends.
▼ The BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down suggests price is pulling away from the upper band, reinforcing bearish momentum.
▼ High probability (91%) and very strong strength rating increase confidence in the signal.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15m and 30m timeframes are still bullish and choppy, which could lead to short-term counter-trend moves or consolidation.
▲ If price reclaims the nearest resistance at 1.40686, the bearish signal would be invalidated, and the trend may reverse.
▲ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) are only trend-forming (2/5), so the bearish trend may not be fully established yet.
▲ A break below support at 1.39699 could be a false breakdown if not followed by strong momentum, leading to a bounce.