EUR/USD – 30M – SELL
SELL 9× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down +3 more
Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Events for EUR/USD
Full calendar- TomorrowUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 19h
- TomorrowUSDFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast 0.1%Previous 0.1%in 19h
- November 4, 2026EURUnemployment Change●●○Forecast 27.971KPrevious 23.587Kin 1 day
All times UTC.
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.46 |
| ▼ | EMA 200 Retreat Down | indicator | 1.39 |
| ▼ | SMA 200 Retreat Down | indicator | 1.38 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.35 |
| ▼ | Shooting Star | candlestick | 0.96 |
| ▼ | Bearish Harami | candlestick | 0.94 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Multiple bearish signals on the 30M chart point to a high-probability sell setup.
- Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 1D) are bearish, suggesting the move aligns with the larger trend.
- Watch the 1.11134 support: a break would confirm the bearish case; a reclaim of 1.12267 would negate it.
- The bullish lower timeframes (15M-1H) may be fading, as the EMA/SMA retreats indicate rejection.
Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leaning bearish. While the 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes still show a solid bullish trend (3/5), the larger 2h, 4h, 12h, and 1d timeframes are all bearish, with the daily trend very strong (4/5). This suggests the recent bullish push on the lower timeframes is likely a counter-trend correction within a broader downtrend. The nearest resistance at 1.12267 and support at 1.11134 define the immediate range; a break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal.
- ▼ Strong confluence of candlestick and indicator signals (BOP, STOCHF, EMA/SMA retreats, Harami, Shooting Star).
- ▼ Bearish alignment across 2H, 4H, 12H, and 1D timeframes, with the daily trend very strong.
- ▼ The pair failed to hold above the 200-period moving averages, a classic bearish reversal trigger.
- ▼ Probability of 100% and very strong strength signal high conviction in the setup.
- ▲ The 15M-1H timeframes are still bullish (3/5), which could provide short-term upward pressure and delay the move.
- ▲ If the pair reclaims the 1.12267 resistance, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
- ▲ The 8H timeframe is choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear trend at that level, which could lead to consolidation.
- ▲ Momentum may fade if the lower timeframe bullish trends persist, so watch for a stall near support.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.12267 | 2026-10-26 |
| R2 | 1.12314 | 2026-10-22 |
| R3 | 1.12560 | 2026-10-22 |
| S1 | 1.11134 | 2026-10-28 |