EUR/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL 9× UPDATED CLOSED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.10 %
Entry
1.11555
Target
1.11134 +0.38 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.12267 −0.64 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,754 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,754 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
EUR/USD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar
  • TomorrowUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 19h
  • TomorrowUSDFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast 0.1%Previous 0.1%in 19h
  • November 4, 2026EURUnemployment Change●●○Forecast 27.971KPrevious 23.587Kin 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 4%
conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.46
▼ EMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.39
▼ SMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.38
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.35
▼ Shooting Star candlestick 0.96
▼ Bearish Harami candlestick 0.94

Trend Context

15M
UPSolid trend
30M
UPSolid trend
1H
UPSolid trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bearish signals on the 30M chart point to a high-probability sell setup.
  • Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 1D) are bearish, suggesting the move aligns with the larger trend.
  • Watch the 1.11134 support: a break would confirm the bearish case; a reclaim of 1.12267 would negate it.
  • The bullish lower timeframes (15M-1H) may be fading, as the EMA/SMA retreats indicate rejection.
The 30-minute EUR/USD chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals: a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and retreats from both the EMA 200 and SMA 200, all reinforced by a Bearish Harami and a Shooting Star candlestick pattern. This confluence suggests a strong, short-term rejection of higher prices, with the pair now pressing lower after failing to hold above the key moving averages. The signal's very strong strength and 100% probability reflect the alignment of multiple independent indicators pointing in the same direction.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leaning bearish. While the 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes still show a solid bullish trend (3/5), the larger 2h, 4h, 12h, and 1d timeframes are all bearish, with the daily trend very strong (4/5). This suggests the recent bullish push on the lower timeframes is likely a counter-trend correction within a broader downtrend. The nearest resistance at 1.12267 and support at 1.11134 define the immediate range; a break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Strong confluence of candlestick and indicator signals (BOP, STOCHF, EMA/SMA retreats, Harami, Shooting Star).
  • ▼ Bearish alignment across 2H, 4H, 12H, and 1D timeframes, with the daily trend very strong.
  • ▼ The pair failed to hold above the 200-period moving averages, a classic bearish reversal trigger.
  • ▼ Probability of 100% and very strong strength signal high conviction in the setup.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 15M-1H timeframes are still bullish (3/5), which could provide short-term upward pressure and delay the move.
  • ▲ If the pair reclaims the 1.12267 resistance, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
  • ▲ The 8H timeframe is choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear trend at that level, which could lead to consolidation.
  • ▲ Momentum may fade if the lower timeframe bullish trends persist, so watch for a stall near support.
Symbol EUR/USD
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 4%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-28 23:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.12267 2026-10-26
R2 1.12314 2026-10-22
R3 1.12560 2026-10-22
S1 1.11134 2026-10-28

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