USD/CAD – 1H – SELL

SELL 7× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-28 21:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.03 %

Entry

1.39923

Target

1.39446 +0.34 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.40686 −0.55 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,436 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,436 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

15 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Double Top, KAMA Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar

15:00TomorrowUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 22h
15:00TomorrowUSDFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast 0.1%Previous 0.1%in 22h
13:15November 4, 2026USDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (28 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Double Topbreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.18
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.40
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.39
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.34
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.33
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.22
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.16
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.97
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.96
▲	ULTOSC OS Exit	indicator	1.74
▲	ADXR Trend Strong	indicator	1.57
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.57
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.35

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multi-timeframe bearish alignment (all frames bearish) supports the sell signal.
Double Top pattern and heavy indicator confluence (ADXR, BOP, moving averages) confirm strong downside momentum.
Key levels: resistance at 1.40686, support at 1.39684; a break below support extends the bearish case.
Short-term counter-movements (KD Cross Up, OS Exit) may cause minor bounces, but the trend remains down.

The 1H USD/CAD signal is firmly bearish with a very strong probability of 86%, supported by a dense cluster of indicators and a clear Double Top pattern. The confluence of ADXR Trend Strong, BOP Zero Cross Down, and multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA) confirms sustained downside momentum. The STOCHF KD Cross Up and ULTOSC OS Exit suggest short-term counter-movements, but these are likely minor bounces within the broader downtrend. Across all timeframes, from 15m to 1d, the trend is consistently bearish, with solid trend scores on the 15m, 30m, 8h, and 1d frames, reinforcing that the bearish pressure is not just a fleeting 1H event but part of a multi-timeframe alignment. The nearest resistance at 1.40686 acts as a ceiling, while the nearest support at 1.39684 is the immediate downside target. A break below this support would open further downside, but until then, the pair is expected to grind lower within this range.

Traders should view this as a high-conviction sell signal, but must respect the potential for short-term volatility from the KD Cross Up and OS Exit. The consistency of bearish trends across all timeframes is a powerful tailwind, yet the 1H trend is still 'forming' (2/5), meaning the move is still developing. The invalidation level is just above the resistance: a daily close above 1.40686 would undermine the bearish thesis. Watch for momentum to fade if the pair approaches support without breaking it, as that could trigger a consolidation or reversal.

Catalysts

▼ Trend alignment across all timeframes, with solid trend scores on multiple frames.
▼ High-probability signal (86%) with very strong strength, backed by a dense cluster of indicators.
▼ Double Top pattern provides a clear chart-based confirmation of bearish reversal.
▼ Moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA) indicate consistent selling pressure.

Risk Factors

▲ A daily close above the 1.40686 resistance would invalidate the bearish signal.
▲ The 1H trend is still 'forming' (2/5), suggesting the move is not fully matured and could stall.
▲ Short-term bullish signals (STOCHF KD Cross Up, ULTOSC OS Exit) may trigger temporary bounces.
▲ If the pair fails to break the 1.39684 support, momentum could fade and lead to consolidation.