USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED
44 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.07 %
Entry
157.965
Target
157.584 +0.24 %
closes in profit
Stop
158.748 −0.50 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.73 % per trade 2,520 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,520 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −8.06 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Down, BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 30,404 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % – vs previous candle
STRONG ⚡ Confluence +6% Scalping
▲ Bullish 6 % (1.78) ▼ Bearish 94 % (26.92)
model score 93.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 2 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.6 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 15.5 % vs 12.5 % (forex, 619 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDGDP Sales q/q●●●Forecast 2.7%Previous 2.8%in 10h
  • TodayUSDReal PCE q/q●●○Forecast 3.5%Previous 3.8%in 10h
  • TodayUSDGDP q/q●●●Forecast 1.4%Previous 2.2%in 10h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.53
▼ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicator 1.45
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.41
▼ DPO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.27
▼ BIAS Zero Cross Down indicator 1.16
▼ Tweezers Top candlestick 0.94

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A powerful confluence of bearish indicators on the 30-minute chart points to a high-probability sell opportunity.
  • The Tweezers Top pattern at recent highs confirms a likely reversal from the bullish run.
  • Watch the 158.25100 resistance: a break above invalidates the bearish signal.
  • The 157.65500 support is the immediate downside target; a break below could accelerate the move.
The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, all aligned in the same direction. The BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, BBANDS Middle Cross Down, BIAS Zero Cross Down, and DPO Zero Cross Down simultaneously indicate a loss of bullish momentum and a shift toward lower prices. The Tweezers Top candlestick pattern at the recent highs adds a classic reversal signal, reinforcing the bearish case. With a very strong signal strength and 100% probability, this is a high-conviction setup.

However, the broader trend context is mixed. While the 15-minute, 4-hour, 12-hour, and 1-day timeframes are bearish, the 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, and 8-hour timeframes are still bullish or choppy. This divergence suggests the bearish move may be a correction within a larger bullish structure, or the beginning of a larger reversal. The nearest resistance at 158.25100 is the invalidation level for the bearish thesis; a break above it would negate the signal. The nearest support at 157.65500 is the first downside target, and a break below could open the door to further declines.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple oscillator and trend indicators (BOP, STOCHF, BIAS, DPO) all crossing zero downward simultaneously, indicating strong momentum shift.
  • ▼ BBANDS Middle Cross Down suggests volatility compression and potential for a breakout lower.
  • ▼ Candlestick confirmation via Tweezers Top at a resistance zone adds confluence.
  • ▼ Bearish alignment across several higher timeframes (4H, 12H, 1D) supports the bearish case.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (30M, 1H, 2H, 8H) are still bullish, which could mean this is a pullback within an uptrend rather than a reversal.
  • ▲ The nearest resistance at 158.25100 is very close; a break above would invalidate the signal and could trigger a squeeze.
  • ▲ If the bearish move fails to break below 157.65500, momentum may fade and the pair could consolidate sideways.
  • ▲ Choppy/sideways trends on many timeframes indicate low trend confidence, so false signals are possible.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 94%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-10-29 00:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 158.25100 2026-10-28
S1 157.65500 2026-10-28
S2 157.58400 2026-10-27
S3 156.64900 2026-10-26

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