AUD/CAD – 12H – BUY

BUY NEW CLOSED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.39 %
Entry
0.98289
Target
0.99757 +1.49 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.97907 −0.39 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price
So far 50 of 100 forex 12h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 224 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 224 closed forex 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
19 % at target avg +0.71 % 31 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.43 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.50 % 18 % at stop avg −0.65 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%), WILLR OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.5 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 14.6 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 616 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/CAD  ·  12H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/CAD

Full calendar
  • TodayCADTrade Balance●●○Forecast $0.488BPrevious $4.199Bin 3h
  • TomorrowAUDTrade Balance●●○Forecast $1.084BPrevious $0.495Bin 14h
  • November 6, 2026CADUnemployment Rate●●●Forecast 6.3%Previous 6.5%in 2 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 12h 5%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest fibonacci 2.23
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 2.06
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.63
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.59
▼ RSX Midline Cross Down indicator 1.57
▼ TSI Signal Cross Down indicator 1.56
▼ HT SINE Zero Cross Down indicator 1.55
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.49
▼ SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down indicator 1.39
▼ COPPOCK Zero Cross Down indicator 1.24
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.12
▲ Tweezers Bottom candlestick 0.95

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A cluster of 12H bullish indicators is firing, but higher timeframes are bearish, so the signal is counter-trend.
  • Watch the 0.99757 resistance: a break above would validate the bullish reversal; failure to hold above support could invalidate.
  • The 71% probability is moderate, so risk management is key—consider scaling in or waiting for higher-timeframe confirmation.
  • The nearest support at 0.97907 is the critical invalidation level; a drop below would negate the bullish thesis.
The AUD/CAD 12H signal fires a cluster of BUY triggers, including a BOP zero cross up, STOCHF KD cross up, and WILLR oversold exit, alongside a BBANDS lower band retreat and HT PHASOR inphase cross up. These indicators collectively suggest that downside momentum is exhausting and that a bullish reversal may be underway on the 12H timeframe. The signal's probability of 71% with moderate strength indicates a reasonably firm, though not overwhelming, case for long positioning.

However, the higher timeframe trend is predominantly bearish, with the 1H, 2H, and 4H charts all showing solid bearish trends. This creates a clear conflict: the 12H signal is firing against the prevailing higher-timeframe direction. The nearest resistance at 0.99757 is the immediate hurdle; a break above would confirm the reversal, while the nearest support at 0.97907 is the invalidation zone if the signal fails. The choppy/sideways nature of the 15m and 30m timeframes adds uncertainty, suggesting the move may lack strong follow-through initially.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple indicator confluence: BOP, STOCHF, WILLR, and BBANDS all point to a bullish shift on the 12H timeframe.
  • ▲ The HT PHASOR inphase cross up adds a cyclical/phase-alignment argument for a turning point.
  • ▲ The signal's moderate strength and 71% probability provide a reasonable, though not overwhelming, bullish case.
  • ▲ The 12H trend is choppy/sideways, which may allow a reversal to develop without strong opposing momentum.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H) are solidly bearish, creating strong headwinds that could overwhelm the 12H signal.
  • ▼ The 15m and 30m charts are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear short-term momentum to support the move.
  • ▼ If price fails to break above the 0.99757 resistance, the bullish setup may stall and reverse.
  • ▼ A close below the 0.97907 support would invalidate the signal, so that level must hold.
Symbol AUD/CAD
Timeframe 12H
Direction BUY
Conviction 5%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-30 09:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.99757 2026-10-09
R2 1.00125 2026-09-22
S1 0.97907 2026-10-15
S2 0.97794 2026-08-20
S3 0.97509 2026-07-30

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