AUD/JPY – 12H – BUY

BUY 3× UPDATED

2026-10-30 09:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.35 %

Entry

110.784

Target

112.613 +1.65 %

closes in profit

Stop

108.634 −1.94 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 5 of 9

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 12h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 224 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 224 closed forex 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.71 % 31 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.43 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.50 % 18 % at stop avg −0.65 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Up, ICHIMOKU Cloud Bullish, BOP Zero Cross Up +7 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – vs previous candle

MODERATE Position

▲ Bullish 82 % (30.25) ▼ Bearish 18 % (6.47)

model score 82.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 6 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.5 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 14.6 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 616 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:50TodayJPYBoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes●●○in 12h
00:30TomorrowAUDTrade Balance●●○Forecast $1.084BPrevious $0.495Bin 13h
23:30November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 5 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.74
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.73
▲	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bullish	indicator	1.67
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.65
▲	SMA 50 Retreat Up	indicator	1.52
▲	CMO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.39
▲	RSI Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.39
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.31
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.25
▲	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up	indicator	1.20
▲	KELTNER MID Cross Up	indicator	1.20

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A powerful cluster of bullish momentum indicators has fired on the 12H timeframe, signaling strong short-term buying pressure.
The signal is counter-trend: higher timeframes (1H, 2H) remain bearish, so this may be a bounce rather than a full reversal.
Key levels: resistance at 112.613 and support at 108.634; watch these for confirmation or invalidation.
Probability is high (89%) and strength very strong, but the conflicting trend across timeframes adds uncertainty.

The AUD/JPY 12H signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish momentum indicators, including BOP Zero Cross Up, CMO Zero Cross Up, RSI Midline Cross Up, and STOCHF KD Cross Up, alongside multiple moving-average retreats (BBANDS MIDDLE, MA, MIDPRICE, SMA 50). This confluence suggests that short-term buying pressure is building, likely after a period of bearish drift. The 89% probability and very strong strength reflect the breadth of indicators aligning in the same direction, even though the higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) remain predominantly bearish.

However, the trend alignment is mixed: the 15M and 30M timeframes are bullish but choppy, while the 1H and 2H are solidly bearish. This means the signal is firing against the larger trend, which could lead to a counter-trend bounce rather than a sustained reversal. The nearest resistance at 112.613 is the immediate barrier; a break above would confirm bullish momentum, while the support at 108.634 is the invalidation zone. Traders should watch for a shift in the higher timeframes to confirm a longer-term change.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple zero-cross and midline-cross indicators (BOP, CMO, RSI, STOCHF KD) all point to a shift in momentum.
▲ Moving-average retreats (BBANDS MIDDLE, MA, MIDPRICE, SMA 50) indicate price is pulling back to key levels, often a precursor to a bullish push.
▲ The 15M and 30M timeframes are already bullish, suggesting the move is starting to take hold in the lower timeframes.
▲ High probability (89%) and very strong strength signal a high level of confluence among indicators.

Risk Factors

▼ The higher timeframes (1H, 2H) are solidly bearish, which could overpower the short-term bullish signal and lead to a failed bounce.
▼ The nearest resistance at 112.613 is a nearby barrier; if price fails to break above, the bullish signal may be invalidated.
▼ Choppy/sideways trends in most timeframes indicate low trend quality, increasing the risk of false signals.
▼ If price falls below the support at 108.634, the bullish thesis is invalidated and a deeper bearish move could resume.