AUD/USD – 12H – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-10-30 09:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.23 %

Entry

0.70330

Target

0.72374 +2.91 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.68941 −1.97 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 5 of 9

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 12h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 224 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 224 closed forex 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.71 % 31 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.43 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.50 % 18 % at stop avg −0.65 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPRICE Break Up, MAMA PRICE Break Up, DEMA Retreat Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % ↑ +24.0 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +16% Position

▲ Bullish 90 % (34.63) ▼ Bearish 10 % (3.92)

model score 89.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 6 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 15.5 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 717 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

13:15TodayUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 3h
13:30TodayUSDImports●●○Previous $420.754Bin 3h
13:30TodayUSDExports●●○Previous $315.182Bin 3h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MIDPRICE Break Up	indicator	3.65
▲	MAMA PRICE Break Up	indicator	2.91
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.41
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.41
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.15
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.09
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.69
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.69
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.69
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.66
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	CHOP Choppy	indicator	1.49
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.34
▼	Gapping Down Doji	candlestick	0.85
▼	ADXR Trend Weak	indicator	0.79

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

The 12H signal is bullish but weak, with mixed momentum signals suggesting a possible early reversal.
Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bullish, while lower timeframes (15m-4h) are bearish, indicating a lack of alignment.
Key levels: resistance at 0.72374 and support at 0.68941; watch for a break above resistance or a hold above support.
The trend is choppy/sideways across all timeframes, so expect low conviction and potential for range-bound movement.

The AUD/USD 12H signal is a BUY with weak probability (61%) and strength, triggered by a mix of momentum and trend indicators. The signal includes ADXR Trend Weak, MOM Zero Cross Down, ROC Zero Cross Down, ROCR Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Up, DEMA Retreat Up, EMA Retreat Up, and HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up, among others. This combination suggests a potential shift from a bearish momentum phase to an early bullish reversal, as the retreat up in moving averages and trendline, along with the KD cross up, hint at upward pressure. However, the momentum cross downs (MOM, ROC, ROCR) indicate that the recent downward momentum is still present, and the ADXR Trend Weak shows the trend is not robust.

Across timeframes, the trend is mixed: lower timeframes (15m to 4h) are bearish and choppy, while higher timeframes (8h to 1d) are bullish and choppy, with the 1D showing a trend forming. This divergence suggests that the bullish signal is a higher-timeframe development, but the lower timeframes are not yet confirming it. The nearest resistance is at 0.72374 and support at 0.68941, providing a wide range. The bullish case relies on the higher timeframe trend and the retreat up signals, but the weak momentum and choppy price action across all timeframes argue for caution. Traders should watch for confirmation on lower timeframes and a break above resistance to validate the bullish bias.

Catalysts

▲ Higher timeframe bullish alignment (8H, 12H, 1D) supports the bullish bias.
▲ Retreat up signals from DEMA, EMA, and HT TRENDLINE indicate upward pressure on key moving averages.
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up suggests a short-term bullish momentum shift.
▲ The 1D timeframe shows a trend forming, which may strengthen the higher-timeframe case.

Risk Factors

▼ Lower timeframes (15m-4h) are bearish, conflicting with the bullish signal and suggesting the move may not sustain.
▼ Momentum indicators (MOM, ROC, ROCR) crossed down, indicating that the recent momentum is still negative.
▼ ADXR Trend Weak shows the trend is not robust, so the signal could fade quickly.
▼ If price falls below the nearest support at 0.68941, the bullish thesis would be invalidated.