AUD/USD – 1D – BUY

BUY NEW
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.25 %
Entry
0.70330
Target
0.72374 +2.91 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.68941 −1.97 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 8 candles (8 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 8
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 6,654 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 6,654 closed forex signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.35 % 32 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.18 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.19 % 12 % at stop avg −0.43 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Retreat Up, DEMA Retreat Up, EMA Retreat Up +6 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % – vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +15% Position
▲ Bullish 87 % (19.76) ▼ Bearish 13 % (3.05)
model score 7.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 15.5 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 717 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/USD  ·  1D
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 2h
  • TodayUSDImports●●○Previous $420.754Bin 2h
  • TodayUSDExports●●○Previous $315.182Bin 2h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 1d 7%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.68
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 2.50
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 2.50
▲ SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire indicator 2.06
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 1.98
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.85
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 1.80
▼ BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down indicator 1.74
▼ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down indicator 1.31
▲ Spinning Top Bullish candlestick 1.06
▲ Bullish Harami candlestick 0.69

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish signal on the daily timeframe, but lower timeframes are still bearish and choppy.
  • Momentum has shifted positive (BOP Zero Cross Up) and bearish momentum is fading (ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down).
  • Key levels to watch: resistance at 0.72374 and support at 0.68941.
  • The trend is forming on the daily, so patience and confirmation are advised.
The AUD/USD 1D signal fires a very strong bullish setup (86% probability) driven by a broad cluster of momentum and trend indicators. The BOP Zero Cross Up marks a shift in buying pressure, while the retreat of multiple moving averages (BBANDS, DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA) from upper bands suggests a pullback within an ongoing uptrend rather than a reversal. The ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down further confirms that bearish momentum is fading, and the candlestick group adds confluence to the bullish case.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but supportive on higher scales: the 8H, 12H, and 1D trends are bullish, with the 1D trend forming (2/5 strength). Lower timeframes (15m to 4h) remain bearish and choppy, indicating that the bullish signal is primarily a higher-timeframe development. The nearest resistance sits at 0.72374, with support at 0.68941. A sustained push above resistance would confirm the bullish outlook, while a break below support would invalidate it.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple moving averages retreating from upper bands indicates a pullback within an uptrend, not a reversal.
  • ▲ BOP Zero Cross Up and ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down align to show bullish momentum gaining.
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are all bullish, supporting the daily signal.
  • ▲ Very strong signal strength (86% probability) adds conviction.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Lower timeframes (15m-4h) are bearish and choppy, which could lead to short-term pullbacks.
  • ▼ The 1D trend is only 'forming' (2/5), so the bullish case is not fully established.
  • ▼ A break below the nearest support at 0.68941 would invalidate the bullish signal.
  • ▼ Nearby resistance at 0.72374 may cap upside if not broken with momentum.
Symbol AUD/USD
Timeframe 1D
Direction BUY
Conviction 7%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-29 21:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.72374 2026-09-09
S1 0.68941 2026-10-15
S2 0.68649 2026-06-30

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