AUD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW
13 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.02 %
Entry
111.158
Target
111.372 +0.19 %
closes in profit
Stop
109.568 −1.43 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,949 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,949 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Break Up, T3 Break Up, Trendline Break Up +3 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % – first candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +5% Scalping
▲ Bullish 94 % (16.66) ▼ Bearish 6 % (0.99)
model score 94.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.2 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 15.3 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 704 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayJPYBoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes●●○in 13h
  • TomorrowAUDTrade Balance●●○Forecast $1.084BPrevious $0.495Bin 13h
  • November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 5 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 10:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ MAMA PRICE Break Up indicator 2.87
▲ T3 Break Up indicator 2.49
▲ Trendline Break Upbreak + retest trendline 2.29
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 2.12
▲ EMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 2.09
▲ ALMA Retreat Up indicator 1.90
▼ Deliberation candlestick 0.99

Trend Context

15M
UPVery strong trend
30M
UPSolid trend
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish momentum on the 30-minute chart, supported by multiple indicators and a candlestick pattern.
  • Shorter timeframes (15m, 30m) are bullish, but higher timeframes (4h and above) are still bearish and choppy.
  • Key support to watch is 109.56800; a break below would invalidate the bullish signal.
  • The trade is best suited for short-term scalping or intraday moves, not long-term positions.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Break Up, DEMA Retreat Up, EMA 200 Retreat Up, MAMA PRICE Break Up, T3 Break Up, ALMA Retreat Up, and a Deliberation candlestick pattern. This confluence of trendline, indicator, and candlestick signals points to strong upward momentum in the near term. The alignment across shorter timeframes (15m and 30m) shows solid bullish trends, while the 1h and 2h are just beginning to form bullish structure, suggesting the move could extend.

However, the higher timeframes (4h through 1d) remain bearish and choppy, which caps the upside potential. The nearest support at 109.56800 is a critical level to watch; a break below it would invalidate the bullish setup. Traders should focus on the short-term momentum while being mindful that the larger trend is still bearish, so any rally may face resistance at higher levels.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple bullish signals fired simultaneously, showing high confluence.
  • ▲ Trend alignment across 15m and 30m timeframes supports the bullish move.
  • ▲ Holding above the nearest support level reinforces the bullish case.
  • ▲ Very strong trend score (94% probability) indicates high conviction in the signal.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are bearish, which could cap upside or reverse the move.
  • ▼ A break below the nearest support at 109.56800 would invalidate the bullish setup.
  • ▼ The bullish trend on 1h and 2h is only forming, so momentum may not be sustained.
  • ▼ Choppy price action on higher timeframes could lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 94%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-04 10:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
S1 109.56800 2026-11-04

Tags

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