BTC/USDT – 1H – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-30 07:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.55 %

Entry

78,185.38

Target

77,758.87 +0.55 %

closes in profit

Stop

81,971.00 −4.84 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 54 of 100 crypto 1h signals ended in profit · on average +0.03 % per trade 6,382 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 6,382 closed crypto 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +1.62 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.54 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.54 % 23 % at stop avg −2.05 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Down, MCGD Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 32,437 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar

15:00November 2, 2026USDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 2 days
15:00November 2, 2026USDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 2 days
15:00November 3, 2026USDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Oct 2026, 08:02 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.16
▲	DX Trend Strong	indicator	1.94
▼	MCGD Retreat Down	indicator	1.82
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.77
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.67
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.63
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.61
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	1.01
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.92

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A very strong bearish signal on the 1H chart, backed by multiple indicators.
All timeframes show bearish bias, but the trend is strongest on the 30M and 1H, weaker on higher timeframes.
Watch the 81971 resistance level; a break above could invalidate the bearish case.
No clear support level is defined, so downside moves may be less predictable.

The 1H BTC/USDT signal is decisively bearish, with a 91% probability and very strong strength. A broad cluster of indicators has aligned to fire in the same direction: BOP Zero Cross Down, DX Trend Strong, STOCH KD Cross Down, and multiple retreat signals (EMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, HMA, MCGD) all point to sustained downside momentum. This confluence across indicator groups (indicator, candlestick) suggests that selling pressure is not isolated to a single metric but is a coordinated move across price, momentum, and trend-following tools.

Across timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent, though the trend is still forming on the higher timeframes (2H to 8H) and choppy on the 12H and 1D. The strongest trend scores are on the 30M (3/5) and the 1H itself (2/5), which supports the immediate downside but also highlights that the higher-timeframe trend is not yet fully established. The nearest resistance sits at 81971, which could act as a ceiling if any bounce occurs. With no clear support level defined, the downside may be open, but that also means there is less defined structure to lean on.

Catalysts

▼ High confluence of bearish indicators (BOP, DX, STOCH, and multiple retreats).
▼ Consistent bearish alignment across all timeframes, even if weaker on higher ones.
▼ Very strong signal strength (91% probability) adds conviction.
▼ The presence of both indicator and candlestick groups reinforces the signal.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) show choppy/sideways action, which could cap momentum.
▲ A break above the 81971 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ The 15M and 12H trends are weak, suggesting possible consolidation or reversal risk.
▲ Momentum may fade if the trend does not strengthen on the 2H and 4H timeframes.