BTC/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED

2026-10-30 16:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −1.26 %

Entry

76,942.57

Target

76,249.96 +0.90 %

closes in profit

Stop

84,898.00 −10.34 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 8 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,844 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,844 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.64 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.81 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.84 % 22 % at stop avg −3.73 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Retreat Down, ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout, T3 Retreat Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 32,437 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.9 % ↓ −24.2 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 24 % (3.33) ▼ Bearish 76 % (10.38)

model score 6.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 9 candles

Loading…

Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar

15:00TomorrowUSDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 1 day
15:00TomorrowUSDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 1 day
15:00November 3, 2026USDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 2 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Oct 2026, 20:02 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.55
▼	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	2.31
▼	T3 Retreat Down	indicator	2.22
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.13
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▲	ADX Trend Strong	indicator	1.29
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.21
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.02
▼	Last Engulfing Bottom	candlestick	0.97
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.83

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish alignment on the 4H and lower timeframes, but the daily trend is still sideways.
Multiple indicators (ADX, BOP, STOCH) confirm the selling pressure, not just a single signal.
Watch the 84,898 resistance level; a reclaim would invalidate the bearish setup.
No nearby support means downside could be swift if momentum persists.

The 4H BTC/USDT signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish indicators, with the ADX confirming a strong trend and multiple momentum oscillators (STOCH KD, BOP) crossing lower. Price action is retreating away from the upper Bollinger Band and below key moving averages (MAMA, T3, ALMA), reinforcing that sellers are in control on this timeframe. The confluence of these signals points to a continuation of the current downtrend rather than a mere pullback.

Across timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent from 15 minutes up to 12 hours, though most are still in the 'trend forming' phase (2/5 strength). The 1-day view is choppy and sideways, which suggests the larger daily structure lacks a clear directional push. This means the immediate momentum is bearish, but the trend is not yet deeply entrenched. The nearest resistance sits at 84,898, and with no nearby support defined, the market may be entering a zone of lower liquidity where moves can accelerate.

Catalysts

▼ High confluence of bearish indicators on the 4H timeframe.
▼ Consistent bearish trend across all lower timeframes (15m to 12h).
▼ Strong ADX reading supports the strength of the current trend.
▼ Price retreating from upper band and key moving averages adds weight.

Risk Factors

▲ The 1-day timeframe is choppy and sideways, which could signal a larger consolidation.
▲ Most timeframes are only 'trend forming' (2/5), so the trend is not yet deeply established.
▲ A break back above 84,898 would invalidate the bearish signal.
▲ Momentum oscillators can reverse quickly in low-liquidity zones without nearby support.