ETH/BTC – 12H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-30 00:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.73 %

Entry

0.02890

Target

0.02846 +1.51 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.03253 −12.56 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 9

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 crypto 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.04 % per trade 692 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 692 closed crypto 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

24 % at target avg +5.17 % 27 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.86 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.87 % 17 % at stop avg −6.14 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Break Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, ALMA Break Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 32,437 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

60.8 % ↑ +22.9 vs previous candle

STRONG Position

▲ Bullish 22 % (4.65) ▼ Bearish 78 % (16.04)

model score 77.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Oct 2026, 12:02 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.71
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.58
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.39
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	1.92
▼	MIDPRICE Break Down	indicator	1.88
▲	Bullish Harami Cross	candlestick	1.05
▲	Matching Low	candlestick	1.04
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	0.88
▲	Takuri Line	candlestick	0.88
▲	Dragonfly Doji	candlestick	0.82

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple moving-average breakdowns (ALMA, HMA, T3, MIDPRICE) confirm strong bearish momentum on the 12H chart.
The 12H trend is very strong (4/5) and aligns with most other timeframes, reinforcing the sell signal.
Watch the 0.02884 support—a break could accelerate downside, while 0.03253 resistance caps any bounce.
The Bullish Harami Cross and Dragonfly Doji hint at a possible short-term bounce, but the broader trend remains bearish.

The 12H chart for ETH/BTC has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, with multiple moving-average breakdowns (ALMA, HMA, T3, MIDPRICE) alongside a retreat from the lower Bollinger Band and a MAMA price retreat. The candlestick patterns—Bullish Harami Cross and Dragonfly Doji—initially suggest a potential bounce, but they are overwhelmed by the broader momentum and trend structure. The confluence of indicator breakdowns points to sustained selling pressure, with the nearest support at 0.02884 as the primary downside target, while any relief rally faces resistance at 0.03253.
Trend alignment is the key here: the 12H timeframe shows a very strong bearish trend (4/5), and the 8H, 2H, and 1H are all solidly bearish. The 4H is still forming its bearish trend, but the higher timeframes are clearly aligned. The only counter-trend note is the 15m and 30m, which are bullish and solid—this suggests a short-term bounce could occur, but it is likely to be contained below the resistance. The overall picture is one of persistent downside momentum, with the signal probability at 77% and strong strength, favoring continued bearish movement.

Catalysts

▼ Strong confluence of moving-average breakdowns across multiple indicators (ALMA, HMA, T3, MIDPRICE).
▼ Very strong bearish trend score on the 12H timeframe (4/5) with solid bearish trends on 8H, 2H, and 1H.
▼ Price retreating from the lower Bollinger Band and MAMA price retreat both signal continued downside pressure.
▼ High signal probability (77%) and strong strength increase the likelihood of the bearish move playing out.

Risk Factors

▲ The Bullish Harami Cross and Dragonfly Doji could trigger a short-term bounce, especially with bullish 15m and 30m trends.
▲ If price reclaims the 0.03253 resistance, the bearish thesis weakens and could lead to a trend reversal.
▲ The 4H timeframe is only 'trend forming' (2/5), indicating that the bearish trend is not fully established there, which may cause hesitation.
▲ A break above the lower Bollinger Band's upper boundary could signal fading momentum, invalidating the breakdown signals.