EUR/AUD – 1D – SELL

SELL NEW
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −1.08 %
Entry
1.58760
Target
1.56174 +1.63 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.63352 −2.89 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 8 candles (8 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 8
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 6,654 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 6,654 closed forex signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.35 % 32 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.18 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.19 % 12 % at stop avg −0.43 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Rectangle, Trendline Break Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % – vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +48% Position
▲ Bullish 16 % (5.46) ▼ Bearish 84 % (29.53)
model score 6.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
EUR/AUD  ·  1D
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/AUD

Full calendar
  • TomorrowAUDTrade Balance●●○Forecast $1.084BPrevious $0.495Bin 14h
  • TomorrowEURFactory Orders y/y●●○Forecast 6.2%Previous 2.7%in 20h
  • TomorrowEURFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast -4.3%Previous -10.6%in 20h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 1d 6%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ Rectanglebreak + retest chart_pattern 3.49
▼ Trendline Break Downbreak + retest trendline 2.55
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.22
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.21
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.78
▲ CCI OS Exit indicator 1.68
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.58
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.42
▼ DX Trend Weak indicator 1.20
▲ ERI BULL Zero Cross Up indicator 1.09
▼ Bearish Harami candlestick 0.99
▼ Spinning Top Bearish candlestick 0.98
▲ HMA Direction Up indicator 0.91
▼ SUPERTREND LEG Leg2 Down indicator3 0.00

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPSolid trend
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of bearish signals on the 1D chart suggests a strong sell bias, but shorter timeframes are mixed, so expect possible pullbacks.
  • The break of the trendline and rectangle pattern is the core trigger; watch for sustained price below the broken levels.
  • Key resistance at 1.63352 is the immediate invalidation zone; a reclaim would weaken the bearish case.
  • With no nearby support, downside potential exists, but the choppy daily trend argues for patience.
The EUR/AUD 1D chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, anchored by a Trendline Break Down and a Rectangle pattern breakdown, with confirmation from a BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OS Exit, DX Trend Weak, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, DEMA Retreat Down, and MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, among others. The confluence of trendline, chart pattern, indicator, and candlestick groups points to a strong, multi-faceted bearish shift on the daily timeframe. The trend across timeframes shows a mixed picture: shorter timeframes (15m to 2h) are mostly bullish or choppy, while the 4h to 12h timeframes align bearish, and the daily itself is bearish but choppy/sideways. This suggests the bearish signal is primarily a higher-timeframe development, with short-term counter-trend noise that could cause pullbacks.

The key resistance level to watch is 1.63352, which now acts as a ceiling after the breakdown. A sustained close below this level would reinforce the bearish thesis, while a reclaim could invalidate the signal. With no nearby support defined, the downside may be open, but caution is warranted given the choppy daily trend and conflicting shorter-timeframe bullishness. The strong probability (84%) and strong trend score on the daily add conviction, but traders should monitor price action around the broken trendline and rectangle boundary for confirmation or failure.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple independent signal groups (trendline, chart pattern, indicator, candlestick) align bearish, increasing conviction.
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (4h-12h) are bearish, aligning with the daily direction.
  • ▼ The BOP Zero Cross Down and CCI OS Exit confirm momentum shift and oversold exit, respectively.
  • ▼ Strong probability (84%) and strong trend score on the daily timeframe.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Shorter timeframes (15m-2h) are bullish, which could fuel counter-trend bounces.
  • ▲ The daily trend is choppy/sideways (1/5), indicating weak trend strength and possible consolidation.
  • ▲ A reclaim of the 1.63352 resistance would invalidate the breakdown and could trigger a squeeze higher.
  • ▲ Fading momentum is possible if the daily trend fails to follow through, given the lack of a defined support level.
Symbol EUR/AUD
Timeframe 1D
Direction SELL
Conviction 6%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-29 21:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.63352 2026-09-30
R2 1.64446 2026-08-20
R3 1.65036 2026-08-03

Tags

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