EUR/JPY – 4H – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-30 17:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.30 %

Entry

175.910

Target

176.433 +0.30 %

closes in profit

Stop

175.394 −0.29 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 575 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 575 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.42 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 17 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, MOM Zero Cross Up, ROC Zero Cross Up +7 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.5 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 14.6 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 616 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/JPY

Full calendar

23:50TodayJPYBoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes●●○in 13h
07:00TomorrowEURFactory Orders y/y●●○Forecast 6.2%Previous 2.7%in 20h
07:00TomorrowEURFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast -4.3%Previous -10.6%in 20h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	FISHER Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.78
▼	RSX Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.57
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.49
▲	MOM Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.35
▲	ROC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.35
▲	ROCR Cross Up	indicator	1.35
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.30
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.21
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.19
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.17
▲	QSTICK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.17
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.98

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple momentum indicators fired bullish on 4H, but higher timeframes are still bearish — treat as counter-trend.
Watch the 176.433 resistance: a break above would strengthen the bullish case, while rejection could lead to a fade.
Support at 175.394 is the invalidation level; losing it would void the bullish signal.
The signal is strong (80% probability) but conflicts with the 1D solid downtrend, so position sizing should be cautious.

The 4H EUR/JPY signal has fired a cluster of bullish momentum indicators — BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI OS Exit, MOM Zero Cross Up, ROC Zero Cross Up, ROCR Cross Up, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, and ERI BULL Zero Cross Up — suggesting that downside pressure may be exhausting and buyers are stepping in. The confluence of these oscillators and momentum gauges at the same timezone points to a potential shift from bearish drift to a bullish correction or reversal, especially as the lower bands of Bollinger Bands are retreating upward and the ERI is crossing into bullish territory.

However, the higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) remain in solid bearish trends, and the 1H and 2H are also bearish. This creates a clear conflict: the 4H signal is firing against the higher-timeframe trend. The nearest resistance at 176.433 is a key hurdle — if price fails to break above it, the bullish momentum may fade and the bearish trend could reassert. The nearest support at 175.394 is the invalidation zone for this signal; a break below would negate the bullish setup. Traders should treat this as a counter-trend bounce unless higher timeframes confirm a shift.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of 8+ momentum and oscillator indicators firing together on 4H.
▲ CCI exiting oversold and STOCHRSI cross-up suggest a momentum shift from the lows.
▲ BBANDS lower band retreating upward indicates a potential volatility contraction and base formation.
▲ ERI bullish zero cross adds a trend-strength confirmation on the 4H.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are solidly bearish — the 4H signal could be a mere pullback within a larger downtrend.
▼ Nearest resistance at 176.433 is close and may cap upside unless broken with volume.
▼ Fading momentum: if the 4H bullish indicators lose strength and price stalls below resistance, the bearish trend could resume.
▼ Invalidation: a break below 175.394 support would negate the signal and likely accelerate the bearish move.