EUR/USD – 12H – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-10-30 09:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.70 %

Entry

1.11665

Target

1.11129 +0.48 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.12696 −0.92 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 5 of 9

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 12h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 224 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 224 closed forex 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.71 % 31 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.43 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.50 % 18 % at stop avg −0.65 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KAMA Retreat Down, SMA 50 Retreat Down, EMA 50 Retreat Down +12 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −24.0 vs previous candle

WEAK Position

▲ Bullish 14 % (2.60) ▼ Bearish 86 % (16.19)

model score 3.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 6 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar

13:15TodayUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 2h
13:30TodayUSDImports●●○Previous $420.754Bin 2h
13:30TodayUSDExports●●○Previous $315.182Bin 2h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.81
▼	SMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.73
▼	EMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.47
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.45
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.35
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.35
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▼	CCI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.30
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.23
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.15
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.15
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.15
▼	Evening Star	candlestick	0.97
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.85

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple momentum and volatility indicators (BOP, CCI, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF KD, BBANDS) all cross down simultaneously, signaling strong bearish momentum.
The 1D timeframe shows a very strong bearish trend, providing higher-timeframe alignment for the 12H sell signal.
Watch the nearest support at 1.11129 for confirmation of downside continuation; a break below it would reinforce the bearish case.
The nearest resistance at 1.12696 is the key invalidation level; a move back above it would negate the sell signal.

The EUR/USD 12H signal fires a dense cluster of momentum and volatility cross-down indicators, including BOP, CCI, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF KD, and BBANDS MIDDLE, all aligning in the bearish direction. This confluence suggests a broad-based loss of upside momentum and a shift toward lower prices. The signal is rated very strong with 100% probability, reflecting the simultaneous confirmation across multiple independent indicators.

Across timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent, though the trend is still forming on the 12H and 4H charts, while the 1D timeframe shows a very strong trend. The shorter timeframes (15m-1h) are choppy and sideways, indicating near-term consolidation, but the higher timeframe alignment supports the sell signal. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.12696 and support at 1.11129. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of over a dozen cross-down signals across different indicator families (momentum, volatility, moving averages) strengthens the bearish case.
▼ Higher timeframe (1D) shows a very strong bearish trend, supporting the validity of the 12H signal.
▼ The signal is rated very strong with 100% probability, indicating high confidence in the bearish direction.
▼ Trend is forming on intermediate timeframes (2H, 4H, 12H), suggesting the bearish move may be gaining traction.

Risk Factors

▲ Shorter timeframes (15m-1h) are choppy and sideways, which could lead to near-term consolidation or a temporary pullback.
▲ The nearest resistance at 1.12696 is relatively close; if price reclaims this level, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
▲ Momentum indicators can produce false signals during low-volatility or ranging conditions; watch for a lack of follow-through below support.
▲ The 8H timeframe shows only choppy/sideways trend, indicating some inconsistency in the intermediate trend strength.