EUR/USD – 4H – BUY

BUY 7× UPDATED CLOSED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.21 %
Entry
1.11665
Target
1.12608 +0.84 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.11129 −0.48 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 575 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 575 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
25 % at target avg +0.42 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 17 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Up, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up +6 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.8 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 13.5 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 916 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/USD  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 2h
  • TodayUSDImports●●○Previous $420.754Bin 2h
  • TodayUSDExports●●○Previous $315.182Bin 2h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 13 × 4h 15%
conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ Trendline Break Upbreak + retest trendline 2.38
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 1.44
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.40
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 1.38
▲ CCI Zero Cross Up indicator 1.30
▲ DPO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.28
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.21
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.07
▲ KELTNER MID Cross Up indicator 1.00

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A powerful cluster of bullish signals fired on the 4H, led by a Trendline Break Up and BOP Zero Cross Up.
  • The broader trend is still bearish, especially the very strong 1D downtrend, so this is a countertrend move.
  • Resistance at 1.12608 is the key level to break for confirmation; support at 1.11129 is the invalidation zone.
  • Momentum and phase indicators all align, but the higher timeframe trend argues for caution.
The 4H EUR/USD signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish indicators, led by a Trendline Break Up and a BOP Zero Cross Up, alongside CCI, STOCHF, DEMA, HT TRENDLINE, HT PHASOR, and DPO cross-ups. The confluence of trendline, momentum, and phase-based signals at the 4H timeframe suggests a decisive shift in intraday structure, breaking prior bearish pressure. However, the broader trend context remains largely bearish, with the 1D timeframe showing a very strong downtrend (4/5) and most lower timeframes (15m–8h) still bearish, though the 4H and 2H are 'trend forming' at 2/5, indicating early reversal attempts.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 1.12608 and support at 1.11129. A sustained push above resistance would confirm the bullish reversal, while a failure to hold above support would invalidate the signal. The alignment across multiple indicators on the 4H is compelling, but the higher timeframe trend remains staunchly bearish, creating a classic lower-timeframe countertrend scenario. Traders should watch for whether the 4H breakout can lift the higher timeframes or if the daily downtrend reasserts itself.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Confluence of nine bullish signals across trendline, momentum, and phase indicators on the 4H.
  • ▲ Trendline Break Up and HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicate a structural shift in the 4H pattern.
  • ▲ The 2H and 4H timeframes are 'trend forming', suggesting the reversal may be gaining traction.
  • ▲ BOP and DPO zero crosses show buying pressure emerging from below the zero line.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The 1D trend is very strongly bearish (4/5), which could overpower the 4H countertrend move.
  • ▼ All lower timeframes (15m–8h) are still bearish, so the 4H signal lacks confirmation from higher or lower timeframes.
  • ▼ If price fails to break above 1.12608, the bullish momentum may fade and the bearish trend could resume.
  • ▼ A drop below support at 1.11129 would invalidate the signal and likely accelerate the downtrend.
Symbol EUR/USD
Timeframe 4H
Direction BUY
Conviction 15%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-30 17:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.12608 2026-10-20
R2 1.12696 2026-10-16
R3 1.12768 2026-10-06
S1 1.11129 2026-10-14

Tags

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