USD/CAD – 8H – BUY

BUY 4× UPDATED

2026-10-30 13:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.11 %

Entry

1.39771

Target

1.43000 +2.31 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.37593 −1.56 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 7 of 10

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 316 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 316 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.64 % 31 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.43 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.43 % 18 % at stop avg −0.60 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: TEMA Retreat Up, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, HMA Retreat Up +7 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −24.0 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 88 % (24.52) ▼ Bearish 12 % (3.36)

model score 4.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 8 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 15.5 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 717 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar

13:15TodayUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 2h
13:30TodayCADTrade Balance●●○Forecast $0.488BPrevious $4.199Bin 2h
13:30TodayUSDImports●●○Previous $420.754Bin 2h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA CROSS 50 200 Death Cross	indicator	2.57
▲	TEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.96
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.90
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.65
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.51
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.33
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.26
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.16
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	1.11
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	0.99
▲	Hammer	candlestick	0.94
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.90

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish reversal signals on 8H, but higher timeframes are still bearish.
Watch the 1.43000 resistance and 1.39684 support for confirmation or invalidation.
The bullish trend is forming on lower timeframes (15m-1h), but the 2H and 1D trends are solidly bearish.
Strong signal confluence on 8H, but the higher timeframe bearish trend is a key risk.

The 8H timeframe has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, and a bullish AO Saucer, among others. These indicators collectively suggest that the recent bearish momentum is exhausting and that a bullish reversal may be underway on the 8H chart. The strength of the signal (79% probability, strong) is supported by the convergence of multiple indicator groups, including candlestick patterns and momentum oscillators.

However, the higher timeframes (2H through 1D) remain bearish, with the 2H and 1D showing solid trends. This creates a conflict: the 8H bullish signal is firing against the prevailing higher-timeframe downtrend. The bullish case is supported by the fact that the 15m to 1h timeframes are already bullish, indicating that the reversal is beginning to propagate upward. But the bearish higher timeframes suggest that any upside may be limited and could be a counter-trend move. Key levels to watch are resistance at 1.43000 and support at 1.39684; a break above resistance would strengthen the bullish case, while a loss of support would invalidate it.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish indicators fired on 8H, including BOP Zero Cross Up and AO Saucer Bullish.
▲ Lower timeframes (15m-1h) are already bullish, suggesting the reversal is starting to propagate.
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicates oversold conditions are unwinding, supporting a bounce.
▲ The signal strength is strong with high probability, indicating high confluence.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (2H, 1D) are bearish with solid trends, which could overpower the 8H reversal.
▼ The 8H signal may be a counter-trend move; if the bearish trend resumes, the bullish signal could fade.
▼ Watch the 1.39684 support level; a break below would invalidate the bullish setup.
▼ The 1.43000 resistance is nearby and could cap upside if not broken.