BTC/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 5× UPDATED CLOSED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.58 %
Entry
77,170.74
Target
76,325.98 +1.09 %
closes in profit
Stop
78,110.00 −1.22 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 12,744 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 12,744 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.09 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.11 % 24 % at stop avg −1.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Break Down, KAMA Retreat Down, SMA 50 Retreat Down +12 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 32,805 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
BTC/USDT  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar
  • TomorrowUSDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 23h
  • TomorrowUSDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 23h
  • November 3, 2026USDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 8%
conviction per candle 11× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 11× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (31 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ ALMA Break Down indicator 2.38
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.96
▼ SMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 1.91
▼ EMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 1.82
▼ T3 Break Down indicator 1.78
▼ DI CROSS Cross Down indicator 1.70
▼ DM CROSS Cross Down indicator 1.50
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.50
▼ SMI Signal Cross Down indicator 1.48
▼ CMO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.46
▼ RSI Midline Cross Down indicator 1.46
▼ KELTNER MID Cross Down indicator 1.44
▼ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down indicator 1.43
▼ BIAS Zero Cross Down indicator 1.14
▼ Long Line Bearish candlestick 0.85

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • All timeframes are bearish, with the strongest trend on the 2-hour chart.
  • A dense cluster of momentum and moving-average signals confirms downside pressure.
  • Watch the 78110 resistance and 76325.98 support for direction confirmation.
  • The choppy 15m/30m action suggests possible short-term volatility despite the strong signal.
The 30-minute BTC/USDT chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including CMO Zero Cross Down, DI Cross Down, DM Cross Down, RSI Midline Cross Down, EMA 50 Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down, SMA 50 Retreat Down, and T3 Break Down, among others. The confluence of momentum, trend, and moving-average signals points to strong downside pressure on the intraday timeframe. The bearish alignment extends across all monitored timeframes, from 15-minute to daily, though the shorter timeframes are choppy/sideways while the 2-hour shows the strongest trend score (3/5).

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 78110 and support at 76325.98. A break below support could accelerate the move, while a reclaim of resistance would negate the immediate bearish setup. The signal probability is rated at 100% with very strong strength, reflecting the high degree of confluence, but traders should remain alert to potential whipsaws given the choppy nature of the lower timeframes.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple momentum indicators (CMO, RSI, DI, DM) all crossing down simultaneously.
  • ▼ Moving averages (EMA 50, SMA 50, KAMA) are retreating, confirming the downtrend.
  • ▼ T3 Break Down adds a trend-continuation signal, reinforcing the bearish view.
  • ▼ Trend alignment across all timeframes, with the 2-hour showing a solid trend.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 15m and 30m trends are choppy/sideways, which could lead to false breakouts or reversals.
  • ▲ A reclaim of the 78110 resistance would invalidate the bearish signal.
  • ▲ The 1-hour trend is only 'forming' (2/5), so momentum could stall if higher timeframe confirmation lags.
  • ▲ If price holds above 76325.98 support, the downside move may be limited, leading to consolidation.
Symbol BTC/USDT
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 8%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-31 03:30
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 78,110.00000 2026-10-30
R2 78,804.01000 2026-10-30
R3 81,971.00000 2026-10-29
S1 76,325.98000 2026-10-30

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