ICP/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED

2026-11-01 00:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.12 %

Entry

2.5110

Target

2.2720 +9.52 %

closes in profit

Stop

2.6870 −7.01 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 8 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 1,899 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,899 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.61 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.78 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.82 % 21 % at stop avg −3.71 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, WMA Retreat Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

64.5 % ↑ +28.6 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +4% Swing

▲ Bullish 11 % (2.50) ▼ Bearish 89 % (20.43)

model score 89.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 8 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for ICP/USDT

Full calendar

15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 3h
15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 3h
15:00TomorrowUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (1 Nov 2026, 04:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.47
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.39
▲	CTI OB Exit	indicator	2.10
▼	WMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.02
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.74
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.68
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	1.34
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	1.04
▼	WILLR OB Entry	indicator	0.98

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence on 4H with multiple momentum and trend signals aligned.
Higher timeframes (8H, 4H, 12H) confirm the downtrend; lower timeframes are choppy and bullish, so expect possible pullbacks.
Key resistance at 2.68700 and support at 2.27200 define the immediate trading range.
Watch for a break below support to confirm continuation, or a reclaim of resistance to invalidate the bearish view.

The 4H ICP/USDT signal stack is firmly bearish, with an 84% probability and strong strength. The confluence of BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Entry, EMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, and WMA Retreat Down all point to sustained downside momentum. The bearish trend is confirmed across higher timeframes, with the 8H showing a very strong trend (4/5) and the 4H/12H solid (3/5), while the 1D is forming a bearish trend. However, lower timeframes (15m-1h) are still bullish and choppy, suggesting potential short-term bounces against the dominant bearish flow.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 2.68700 and support at 2.27200. A break below support would likely accelerate the decline, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The AO Saucer Bullish signal adds a note of caution, hinting at possible bullish momentum divergence. Traders should monitor price action around these levels and the lower timeframe trend for confirmation.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple independent signals (BOP, STOCHRSI, WILLR, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, WMA) all point to bearish momentum.
▼ Higher timeframe trends (8H very strong, 4H and 12H solid) align with the 4H sell signal.
▼ The 1D trend is forming bearish, suggesting the downtrend may extend.
▼ Strong trend score (3/5) on 4H and very strong (4/5) on 8H support the signal's probability.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15m-1h) are bullish and choppy, which could lead to short-term counter-trend bounces.
▲ The AO Saucer Bullish signal indicates possible bullish momentum divergence, which may slow the decline.
▲ If price reclaims the 2.68700 resistance, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
▲ The 1D trend is only forming (2/5), so the longer-term bearish structure is not yet fully established.