AUD/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-02 08:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.23 %

Entry

110.792

Target

111.564 +0.70 %

closes in profit

Stop

110.201 −0.53 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,527 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,527 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.36 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA 200 Retreat Up, EMA 200 Retreat Up, MA Retreat Up +11 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.2 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 17.4 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 552 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:50TodayJPYBoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes●●○in 2h
00:30TomorrowAUDTrade Balance●●○Forecast $1.084BPrevious $0.495Bin 3h
23:30November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 5 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Nov 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.05
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.03
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.89
▲	CMO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.77
▲	RSI Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.77
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.72
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.64
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.56
▲	MOM Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.52
▲	ROC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.52
▲	ROCR Cross Up	indicator	1.52
▲	KELTNER MID Cross Up	indicator	1.44
▲	VORTEX Cross Up	indicator	1.22
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.16

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong 1H bullish momentum with multiple oscillators crossing above zero/midline.
Counter-trend signal against bearish 1H and 2H trends—trade with tight risk.
Resistance at 111.56400 is the immediate upside target; support at 110.20100 is the invalidation level.
Higher timeframe trends are mostly bearish, so the signal may be a short-term bounce rather than a reversal.

The AUD/JPY 1H signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish momentum oscillators—BOP, CMO, MOM, ROC, ROCR, RSI, and STOCH all crossing above their zero or midline thresholds—along with an EMA 200 retreat up and additional bullish indicators. This suggests a strong short-term impulse that could drive price toward the nearest resistance at 111.56400. However, the broader trend context is mixed: the 1H and 2H timeframes show bearish trends (with the 2H solid at 3/5), while the 4H is bullish but choppy. The alignment across timeframes is therefore not fully supportive, and the signal's strength is concentrated in the 1H momentum.

The key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 111.56400 and support at 110.20100. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish momentum, while a drop below support would invalidate the signal. Given the higher timeframe bearish trends, traders should treat this as a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend. The signal's high probability and very strong strength suggest a meaningful short-term bounce, but caution is warranted due to the lack of confirmation from higher timeframes.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of 12+ bullish momentum signals on the 1H timeframe.
▲ EMA 200 retreat up adds trend-following confirmation.
▲ Very strong signal strength and 100% probability suggest high conviction in the momentum.
▲ Nearest resistance is close, providing a clear target for the move.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe trends (1H, 2H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, conflicting with the bullish signal.
▼ The 4H is bullish but choppy, offering limited support.
▼ If price fails to break above 111.56400, momentum could fade and reverse.
▼ A drop below 110.20100 would invalidate the signal and likely trigger a bearish continuation.