AUD/USD – 1H – BUY

BUY NEW CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.20 %
Entry
0.70278
Target
0.70431 +0.22 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.70135 −0.20 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,527 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,527 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.36 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, CMO Zero Cross Up, RSI Midline Cross Up +16 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.2 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 15.3 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 704 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/USD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar
  • TomorrowAUDTrade Balance●●○Forecast $1.084BPrevious $0.495Bin 3h
  • TomorrowUSDUnit Labor Costs q/q●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 1.2%in 16h
  • TomorrowUSDNonfarm Productivity q/q●●○Forecast 1.9%Previous 1.4%in 16h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 1h 14%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Nov 2026, 09:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 2.17
▲ CMO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.81
▲ RSI Midline Cross Up indicator 1.81
▲ BIAS Zero Cross Up indicator 1.65
▲ CCI OS Exit indicator 1.57
▲ ERI BULL Zero Cross Up indicator 1.47
▲ KELTNER MID Cross Up indicator 1.43
▲ AO Saucer Bullish indicator 1.39
▼ CHOP Choppy indicator 1.39
▲ QSTICK Zero Cross Up indicator 1.38
▼ DX Trend Weak indicator 1.36
▲ CTI OS Exit indicator 1.35
▲ MOM Zero Cross Up indicator 1.33
▲ ROC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.33
▲ ROCR Cross Up indicator 1.33
▲ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up indicator 1.31
▲ SMI Signal Cross Up indicator 1.31
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.25
▲ Long Line Bullish candlestick 1.18
▲ KDJ Cross Up indicator 1.16
▲ TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 1.03
▲ HMA Direction Up indicator 0.89

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Momentum oscillators (RSI, CCI, CMO, MOM, ROC) all flipped bullish on the 1H, signaling a strong intraday reversal attempt.
  • The signal is counter-trend: higher timeframes (30M-4H) are still bearish, so treat this as a bounce, not a new uptrend.
  • Watch 0.70431 as the key resistance to break; a close above would confirm, while a break below 0.70135 invalidates the setup.
  • The bullish trend on 8H-1D suggests the bounce may have broader support, but choppy conditions warrant tight risk management.
The AUD/USD 1H signal fires a cluster of momentum oscillators (CCI, CMO, MOM, ROC, ROCR, RSI) all crossing their zero or midlines upward, alongside a retreat from the lower Bollinger Band. This points to a sharp reversal in intraday momentum after a period of downside pressure. The breadth of the signal (17 indicators plus candlestick patterns) and a very strong strength score (87%) suggest a high-conviction bounce attempt.

However, the higher timeframe backdrop is mixed: the 1H and 30M trends remain bearish, while 15M, 8H, 12H, and 1D show bullish but choppy conditions. The signal is therefore a counter-trend bounce within a larger bearish structure. The immediate upside target is the nearest resistance at 0.70431, with support at 0.70135 as the invalidation zone. A sustained move above resistance would shift the bias, while a loss of support would negate the bullish signal.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Confluence of multiple momentum oscillators (RSI, CCI, CMO, MOM, ROC) all crossing upward on the 1H.
  • ▲ Price retreating from the lower Bollinger Band, often a precursor to a mean-reversion bounce.
  • ▲ Bullish trend on the 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes provides a supportive backdrop for the intraday bounce.
  • ▲ Very strong signal strength (87%) and a large number of confirming indicators increase conviction.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The 1H, 2H, and 4H trends are still bearish, so the bounce could be a pullback within a larger downtrend.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance at 0.70431 is a key hurdle; failure to break it could stall the rally.
  • ▼ If price breaks below support at 0.70135, the bullish signal is invalidated and downside could resume.
  • ▼ Choppy/sideways conditions on several timeframes (15M, 4H, 8H, 12H) suggest low trend quality, increasing the chance of false signals.
Symbol AUD/USD
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 14%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-02 08:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.70431 2026-10-30
R2 0.70680 2026-10-29
S1 0.70135 2026-10-30
S2 0.70094 2026-10-27
S3 0.70048 2026-10-23

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