AUD/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-02 09:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.18 %

Entry

0.70269

Target

0.70140 +0.18 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.70431 −0.23 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,949 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,949 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 15.5 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 717 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

00:30TomorrowAUDTrade Balance●●○Forecast $1.084BPrevious $0.495Bin 2h
13:30TomorrowUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 15h
13:30TomorrowUSDUnit Labor Costs q/q●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 1.2%in 15h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Nov 2026, 09:30 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.54
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	2.41
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.08
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.06
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	1.71
▲	DI CROSS Cross Up	indicator	1.69
▲	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.66
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.61
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▲	DM CROSS Cross Up	indicator	1.49
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	1.10
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	1.09

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense bearish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart suggests short-term downside pressure.
The trend is mixed: bullish on lower timeframes, bearish on the 1H-4H, so expect possible chop.
Watch the 0.70169 support; a break below strengthens the bearish case.
Resistance at 0.70408 is the key upside invalidation level.

The 30-minute AUD/USD chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and a BOP Zero Cross Down, supported by multiple moving-average retreats (EMA 200, KAMA, SMA 200) and a STOCHF KD Cross Down. The confluence of indicator, candlestick, and trendline groups points to a loss of upside momentum and a potential shift toward lower prices. However, the broader picture is mixed: the 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes remain bullish, while the 1-hour, 2-hour, and 4-hour timeframes are bearish, creating a tug-of-war between short-term strength and medium-term weakness.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.70408 and support at 0.70169. A sustained break below support would confirm the bearish momentum and open the door to further downside. Conversely, a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. Given the moderate strength and mixed higher-timeframe alignment, traders should treat this as a tactical short-term signal rather than a high-conviction trend reversal.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple moving-average retreats (EMA 200, KAMA, SMA 200) align with the bearish move.
▼ Trendline Break Down and BOP Zero Cross Down provide strong confluence.
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down confirms short-term momentum fading.
▼ Bearish alignment on 1H-4H timeframes supports the medium-term downtrend.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (15M, 30M, 8H-1D) are still bullish, which could stall the sell-off.
▲ The 30M trend is still bullish (2/5), so the signal may be counter-trend.
▲ A reclaim of 0.70408 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Momentum is only moderate; a lack of follow-through could lead to a sideways consolidation.