BTC/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 11× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-02 04:30 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.77 %

Entry

78,414.45

Target

77,620.00 +1.01 %

closes in profit

Stop

78,804.01 −0.50 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 13,153 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 13,153 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.10 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.08 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.10 % 24 % at stop avg −1.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Break Down, T3 Break Down, AO Saucer Bearish +6 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

Loading…

Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar

15:00TodayUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 1h
13:15TomorrowUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 1 day
15:00TomorrowUSDISM Non-Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 69.5Previous 74.0in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Nov 2026, 05:02 UTC, updated 11× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.08
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	1.75
▼	AO Saucer Bearish	indicator	1.60
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.45
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.44
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.30
▼	Closing Marubozu Bearish	candlestick	0.87
▼	STC OB Entry	indicator	0.60

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A very strong bearish signal cluster fired on the 30m chart, suggesting immediate downside pressure.
Shorter timeframes (15m-1h) are still bullish, so this could be a pullback rather than a reversal.
Watch 77620 support — a break below confirms the bearish move; 78804 resistance is the invalidation zone.
Higher timeframes (4h-1d) are bearish, adding weight to the sell signal if the pullback deepens.

The 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a T3 Break Down and HMA Break Down, with confirmation from AO Saucer Bearish, ER Level Cross Down, SMI Signal Cross Down, STC OB Entry, and TTM TREND Trend Down. This indicates strong short-term selling pressure, and the 100% probability and very strong strength suggest a high-conviction move lower on this timeframe. However, the higher timeframes are mixed: the 15m, 30m, and 1h are still bullish, while the 4h through 1d are bearish, creating a conflict between the immediate pullback and the larger trend.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 78804.01 and support at 77620.00. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum and likely accelerate the move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the short-term bearish case. Given the bullish shorter-term bias, the sell signal may represent a corrective pullback within a broader uptrend, so traders should monitor whether price respects the support level and whether the bearish signals persist on higher timeframes.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators align bearish on the 30m, including T3, HMA, AO, ER, SMI, and STC, creating strong confluence.
▼ The signal's probability is 100% with very strong strength, indicating high conviction in the move.
▼ Higher timeframes (4h-1d) are all bearish, supporting the idea that the 30m sell could be the start of a larger decline.
▼ Nearest support at 77620 provides a clear target; a break below would likely accelerate selling.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes are still bullish, which could mean the sell signal is just a short-term correction within an uptrend.
▲ If price reclaims resistance at 78804, the bearish signal would be invalidated and the trend could resume higher.
▲ Momentum may fade if the pullback stalls above support, especially with the 2h timeframe showing choppy/sideways conditions.
▲ The 30m signal conflicts with the bullish shorter-term trend, so the move could be shallow and quickly reverse.