LUNC/USDT – 12H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-11-02 12:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −1.36 %

Entry

0.00004058

Target

0.00003962 +2.37 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.00005791 −42.71 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 3 of 9

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 crypto 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.05 % per trade 712 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 712 closed crypto 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

23 % at target avg +5.12 % 27 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.82 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.89 % 17 % at stop avg −6.06 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: DEMA Break Down, KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout, ALMA Break Down +1 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

42.8 % ↑ +4.8 vs previous candle

WEAK Position

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (13.90)

model score 23.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for LUNC/USDT

Full calendar

13:15TodayUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 7h
15:00TodayUSDISM Non-Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 69.5Previous 74.0in 8h
15:00TodayUSDISM Non-Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 55.2Previous 54.9in 8h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 00:02 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	2.73
▼	KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	2.70
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.39
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.19

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish alignment across all major timeframes supports further downside.
Multiple moving average breakouts (DEMA, ALMA) and a Keltner lower breakout confirm selling pressure.
Watch the 0.00006 resistance: a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup.
The 15-minute choppy bullish move is minor and not yet a threat to the overall downtrend.

The LUN/CUSDT pair is exhibiting a pronounced bearish trend across multiple timeframes, with the 12H chart confirming the sell signal. The DEMA Break Down, ALMA Break Down, and MIDPRICE Retreat Down all indicate that price has decisively moved below key moving averages, while the KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout signals that volatility is expanding to the downside. This confluence of indicators points to sustained selling pressure and a continuation of the downtrend.

Trend alignment is robust, with bearish signals on all timeframes from 30 minutes up to the daily, with the strongest trends on the 1H, 8H, 12H, and 1D charts. The only exception is the 15-minute chart, which is choppy and slightly bullish, but this is a minor counter-trend move within a broader bearish structure. The nearest resistance at 0.00006 is a key level to watch; a break above it would signal a potential reversal, while continued rejection would reinforce the bearish outlook. With no clear support level defined, downside risk remains open.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of four independent bearish signals on the 12H timeframe.
▼ Very strong trend scores on 1H, 8H, 12H, and 1D charts.
▼ Price trading below key moving averages (DEMA, ALMA) and midprice.
▼ Keltner lower breakout indicating expanding downside volatility.

Risk Factors

▲ Potential bounce at current levels if the 15-minute bullish momentum gains traction.
▲ No defined support level means price could reverse sharply if short-covering occurs.
▲ A break above the 0.00006 resistance would invalidate the bearish signal.
▲ If higher timeframe momentum fades, the trend could stall or reverse.