LUNC/USDT – 8H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-11-02 16:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −1.36 %

Entry

0.00004058

Target

0.00003921 +3.38 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.00004674 −15.18 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 4 of 10

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 52 of 100 crypto 8h signals ended in profit · on average −0.19 % per trade 1,065 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,065 closed crypto 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

26 % at target avg +3.96 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.23 % 27 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.55 % 21 % at stop avg −5.28 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 50 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 26 of 100 across all crypto 8h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: DEMA Retreat Down, TEMA Break Down, ALMA Retreat Down +1 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

57.9 % ↑ +22.0 vs previous candle

MODERATE Swing

▲ Bullish 28 % (2.60) ▼ Bearish 72 % (6.69)

model score 72.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 4 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for LUNC/USDT

Full calendar

13:15TodayUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 7h
15:00TodayUSDISM Non-Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 69.5Previous 74.0in 8h
15:00TodayUSDISM Non-Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 55.2Previous 54.9in 8h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 00:02 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.73
▼	TEMA Break Down	indicator	2.61
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.22
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.06
▲	RSI OS Entry	indicator	1.25
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.17
▲	RSX OS Entry	indicator	1.07
▲	KDJ OS Entry	indicator	1.06

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish indicators (DEMA, MAMA, TEMA, RSI, KDJ, RSX) align on the 8H timeframe.
Trend is bearish across most timeframes, with strong alignment from 1H to 1D.
Watch key levels: support at 0.00004 and resistance at 0.00005.
Short-term bullish noise on 15M is weak and unlikely to reverse the larger downtrend.

The 8H SELL signal on LUN/CUSDT is supported by a dense cluster of bearish indicators, including DEMA, MAMA, and TEMA retreats/downs, alongside oversold entries on RSI, KDJ, and RSX. The STOCHF KD Cross Up suggests short-term counter-trend momentum, but the overall confluence points to sustained downside pressure. Across timeframes, the trend is predominantly bearish, with strong alignment from 1H through 1D (scores of 4/5 on 1H, 8H, 12H, and 1D), reinforcing the bearish bias. The 15M shows choppy bullish noise, but it is isolated and weak, unlikely to disrupt the larger trend.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 0.00005 and support at 0.00004. A break below support would confirm continued bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The moderate strength and high probability (74%) suggest the signal is reliable but not extreme, so traders should watch for momentum shifts near these levels.

Catalysts

▼ Strong trend alignment across 1H, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes.
▼ Confluence of multiple bearish indicators (DEMA, MAMA, TEMA) on the 8H chart.
▼ Oversold entries on RSI, KDJ, and RSX suggest continued downside pressure.
▼ Price is trading below key resistance, reinforcing bearish momentum.

Risk Factors

▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicates potential short-term bounce, which could slow the decline.
▲ The 15M timeframe shows bullish choppiness, hinting at possible counter-trend movement.
▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 0.00005, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
▲ Momentum may be fading as several oscillators are oversold, increasing the risk of a pullback.