USD/CHF – 2H – SELL

SELL NEW
38 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.15 %
Entry
0.82039
Target
0.81618 +0.51 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.83127 −1.33 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 14
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 900 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 900 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
19 % at target avg +0.41 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPRICE Break Down, TEMA Break Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down +14 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % – first candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +7% Intraday
▲ Bullish 8 % (4.05) ▼ Bearish 92 % (49.39)
model score 92.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
USD/CHF  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CHF

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Employment●●○Forecast 51.4Previous 52.7in 2h
  • TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 2h
  • TodayUSDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 2h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ MIDPRICE Break Down indicator 2.75
▼ TEMA Break Down indicator 2.31
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.23
▼ ALMA Break Down indicator 2.16
▼ HMA Break Down indicator 2.15
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.11
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.09
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.05
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 1.98
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.94
▼ FISHER Zero Cross Down indicator 1.91
▼ RSX Midline Cross Down indicator 1.91
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.82
▼ MACDFIX Signal Cross Down indicator 1.81
▼ TSI Signal Cross Down indicator 1.77
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.72
▼ QSTICK Zero Cross Down indicator 1.33
▲ ER Level Cross Up indicator 1.26
▲ CTI OS Entry indicator 1.07
▼ High Wave Bearish candlestick 0.89

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal on USD/CHF 2H with 92% probability and very strong strength.
  • All timeframes from 15m to 12h are bearish, but the daily chart is sideways.
  • Key resistance at 0.83127 and support at 0.81937 define the immediate range.
  • Multiple indicators align for a sell, but watch for daily trend confirmation.
The USD/CHF pair is exhibiting a strong bearish bias on the 2-hour timeframe, with a very strong signal probability of 92%. A confluence of indicators—MACD fixed line cross down, Bollinger Bands lower retreat up, and multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA)—confirms downward momentum. The price is retreating from the lower Bollinger Band, suggesting a continuation of the downtrend rather than a reversal. The signal is reinforced by a bearish trend across all timeframes from 15 minutes up to 12 hours, though the daily chart remains choppy and sideways, indicating that the broader trend is not yet fully established.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.83127 and support at 0.81937. A break below support could accelerate the decline, while a move back above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The alignment of multiple timeframes in a bearish direction supports the signal, but the lack of a strong trend on the daily chart suggests that the move may be part of a larger consolidation. Traders should monitor price action around these levels for confirmation or invalidation.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA) indicating consistent selling pressure.
  • ▼ MACD fixed line cross down confirms bearish momentum shift.
  • ▼ Bollinger Bands lower retreat up suggests the price is bouncing off the lower band, often a continuation signal in a downtrend.
  • ▼ Bearish trend alignment across all intraday timeframes from 15m to 12h.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Daily chart is choppy and sideways, which could limit the depth of the move.
  • ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 0.83127 would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • ▲ The Bollinger Bands lower retreat up could indicate a potential bounce if the price fails to break support.
  • ▲ Momentum may fade if the price approaches the support level without a decisive break.
Symbol USD/CHF
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Conviction 92%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-02 10:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.83127 2026-10-28
R2 0.83950 2026-10-14
S1 0.81937 2026-10-30
S2 0.81916 2026-10-22

Tags

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