USD/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL 9× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-02 01:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.02 %

Entry

157.786

Target

156.962 +0.52 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.127 −0.22 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,527 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,527 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.36 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%), BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.2 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 15.3 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 704 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

15:30TodayUSDEIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change●●○in 24m
15:30TodayUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●in 24m
23:50TodayJPYBoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes●●○in 8h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Nov 2026, 02:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.65
▲	MACD Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.63
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.53
▲	TSI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.49
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	1.34
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.30
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.13
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	0.85
▼	Bearish Harami Cross	candlestick	0.81

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Sell signal on USD/JPY 1H with 69% probability, driven by bearish candlestick and Fibonacci patterns.
Mixed timeframes: shorter-term bullish, longer-term bearish, indicating a potential counter-trend move.
Key levels to watch: support at 156.96200 and resistance at 158.12700.
Contradictory momentum signals (MACD/TSI up) add uncertainty to the bearish case.

The USD/JPY 1H signal has fired a SELL with a 69% probability and moderate strength, driven by a confluence of candlestick, Fibonacci, and indicator signals. The Bearish Harami Cross and Northern Doji suggest a potential reversal from recent highs, while the BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHF KD Cross Down confirm bearish momentum. The Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) indicates that the pair has broken below a key retracement level, adding to the bearish case. However, the MACD and TSI Zero Cross Up signals are contradictory, suggesting that some momentum indicators are still turning upward, which may limit downside potential.

On higher timeframes, the trend is mixed: the 15m to 2h timeframes are bullish, while the 4h to daily timeframes are bearish. This divergence suggests that the current sell signal is a counter-trend move against the shorter-term bullish bias, and the overall trend is choppy. The nearest resistance at 158.12700 and support at 156.96200 define the immediate range. A break below support would confirm the bearish signal, while a move above resistance would invalidate it. Traders should watch for a close below the support level to confirm the downside continuation.

Catalysts

▼ Bearish candlestick patterns (Bearish Harami Cross, Northern Doji) signal potential reversal.
▼ Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) confirms a breakdown of a retracement level.
▼ BOP and STOCHF cross down indicate selling pressure.
▼ Higher timeframe bearish bias (4H to daily) supports the sell signal.

Risk Factors

▲ Shorter timeframes (15m to 2H) are bullish, which could counter the sell signal.
▲ MACD and TSI zero cross up suggest momentum is still turning upward.
▲ A break above resistance at 158.12700 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Choppy/sideways trend on higher timeframes may lead to range-bound movement rather than a strong decline.