USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 9× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-02 01:30 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.10 %

Entry

157.786

Target

156.962 +0.52 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.127 −0.22 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,949 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,949 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%), BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, ZLMA Retreat Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.2 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 15.3 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 704 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

15:30TodayUSDEIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change●●○in 24m
15:30TodayUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●in 24m
23:50TodayJPYBoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes●●○in 8h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Nov 2026, 02:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.78
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.76
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.72
▼	ZLMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.65
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.58
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▼	Hanging Man	candlestick	1.26
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.94
▼	Last Engulfing Bottom	candlestick	0.80
▼	Last Engulfing Top	candlestick	0.75

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple indicators (BOP, STOCH, BBANDS, HMA, ZLMA) align to signal a strong short-term selloff.
Higher timeframes (4H and above) are bearish, supporting the downside move.
Key support at 156.962 is the immediate target; a break below opens the door for further declines.
Resistance at 158.127 is the invalidation level; a move above would negate the bearish setup.

The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, BBANDS Upper Retreat Down, and a Fibonacci Break DownTrend at 24%. This confluence suggests sellers are aggressively defending the upper band and pushing momentum lower, with the HMA and ZLMA both retreating to confirm the pullback. While the immediate 15m and 30m trends are still technically bullish (trend forming), the flood of short-term reversal signals indicates that this uptrend is losing steam and a deeper correction is underway.

Across higher timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bearish: the 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D trends are all bearish (though choppy/sideways), which aligns with the short-term sell signal. The 1H is bullish but only weakly (1/5), offering little support for the upside. Key levels to watch are resistance at 158.127 and support at 156.962. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal. The high probability (92%) and very strong strength underscore the conviction behind this move, but traders should remain cautious given the conflicting lower-timeframe bullish bias.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of 12+ signals across candlestick, Fibonacci, and indicator groups.
▼ Very strong signal strength (92% probability) and high conviction.
▼ Fibonacci break down at 24% adds a technical layer to the bearish case.
▼ Bearish trend on 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes aligns with the short-term sell.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1H) are still bullish, which could lead to a bounce or consolidation.
▲ The higher timeframe trends are choppy/sideways, reducing the reliability of the bearish bias.
▲ If price reclaims 158.127 resistance, the sell signal is invalidated and could trigger a short squeeze.
▲ Momentum may fade if the STOCH and RSI reach oversold levels quickly, leading to a pause in the decline.