USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW
53 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.01 %
Entry
157.942
Target
156.962 +0.62 %
closes in profit
Stop
158.336 −0.25 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,754 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,754 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%), KDJ OB Entry, STOCHF KD Cross Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % ↓ −20.4 vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +28% Scalping
▲ Bullish 29 % (6.31) ▼ Bearish 71 % (15.38)
model score 4.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 2 candles
USD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Employment●●○Forecast 51.4Previous 52.7in 3h
  • TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 3h
  • TodayUSDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 3h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Nov 2026, 10:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest fibonacci 1.75
▼ KDJ OB Entry indicator 1.72
▲ VORTEX Cross Up indicator 1.65
▲ STC Level Cross Up indicator 1.63
▲ SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire indicator 1.61
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.53
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.42
▼ HT SINE Cross Down indicator 1.37
▼ HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle indicator 1.19
▼ Bearish Harami Cross candlestick 1.05
▲ Northern Doji candlestick 1.04

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bearish signals on the 30-minute chart point to a short-term sell bias.
  • Higher timeframes (2h to 1d) are bearish, but trend strength is weak, so choppy conditions are likely.
  • Watch the nearest support at 156.96200; a break below could accelerate downside.
  • Resistance at 157.99200 is the key invalidation level for the bearish setup.
The 30-minute USD/JPY signal stack is heavily bearish, with multiple oscillators and cycle indicators firing to the downside simultaneously. The BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and HT SINE Cross Down all point to a loss of upside momentum, while the KDJ OB Entry and SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire suggest an overbought condition and a potential volatility expansion to the downside. The VORTEX Cross Up and STC Level Cross Up are counter-trend signals, but they are outweighed by the cluster of bearish triggers.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bearish at higher timeframes. The 15-minute and 30-minute trends are still bullish, but the trend strength is weak (2/5 and 1/5), indicating choppy, sideways action. The 2-hour through daily timeframes are all bearish, albeit with weak trend strength (1/5 each), which suggests a broader downtrend that is currently consolidating. The confluence of bearish signals on the 30-minute timeframe, combined with the bearish higher-timeframe bias, supports a short-term sell bias. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 157.99200 and the nearest support at 156.96200. A break below support could confirm further downside, while a move above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Cluster of bearish signals: BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, HT SINE Cross Down, and KDJ OB Entry.
  • ▼ SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire indicates a volatility expansion that could favor the downside.
  • ▼ Bearish alignment on higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) supports the sell bias.
  • ▼ Fibonacci and candlestick signals add confluence to the bearish case.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 15-minute and 30-minute trends are still bullish, which could lead to a bounce or reversal.
  • ▲ Counter-trend signals (VORTEX Cross Up, STC Level Cross Up) suggest some upside pressure remains.
  • ▲ Weak trend strength across all timeframes means the market is choppy and prone to false signals.
  • ▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 157.99200, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 5%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-02 10:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 157.99200 2026-11-02
R2 158.12700 2026-10-29
R3 158.33600 2026-10-28
S1 156.96200 2026-10-30

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