AVAX/USDT – 2H – BUY

BUY 6× UPDATED

2026-11-03 06:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +4.12 %

Entry

8.3460

Target

9.0600 +8.55 %

closes in profit

Stop

8.0000 −4.15 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 13 of 14

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 2h signals ended in profit · on average +0.04 % per trade 3,623 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,623 closed crypto 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.07 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.08 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.09 % 21 % at stop avg −2.85 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 2h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, Bullish Engulfing

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

67.1 % ↑ +17.5 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +9% Intraday

▲ Bullish 98 % (43.78) ▼ Bearish 2 % (1.01)

model score 97.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 14 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.8 % vs 31.9 % on average · stopped out 38.7 % vs 22.6 % (crypto, 2,072 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

13:15TodayUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 2h
15:00TodayUSDISM Non-Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 69.5Previous 74.0in 3h
15:00TodayUSDISM Non-Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 55.2Previous 54.9in 3h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 08:02 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.83
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.64
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.00

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

2H signals are bullish, but the higher timeframes (8H, 12H) are solidly bearish – this is a counter-trend setup.
Key resistance at 9.06000 is the immediate upside hurdle; a close above it would improve the bullish outlook.
Support at 8.00000 is the critical invalidation zone for the bounce – losing it would negate the bullish signals.
The Bullish Engulfing and momentum crossovers suggest a short-term bounce, but trend alignment is against sustained upside.

The 2H chart for AVA/XUSDT has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, a STOCHF KD Cross Up, an ER Level Cross Down, and a Bullish Engulfing pattern. Together, these indicate a short-term shift in momentum and buying pressure, with the candlestick pattern confirming a potential reversal from recent selling. The signals are strong (79% probability) and suggest that the immediate downside pressure may be easing, at least on the 2H timeframe.

However, the broader trend across higher timeframes remains firmly bearish. The 8H and 12H charts both show solid bearish trends, while the 4H and 1D are also bearish, though choppier. This creates a conflict: the 2H signals are counter-trend against the dominant higher-timeframe direction. The nearest resistance at 9.06000 is a critical level; a break above it would strengthen the bullish case, while failure to hold the 2H momentum could see price retest the 8.00000 support. Traders should treat this as a potential short-term bounce within a larger downtrend, not a full trend reversal.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple 2H signals align: BOP, STOCHF, ER, and a Bullish Engulfing pattern all point to buying pressure.
▲ Strong signal strength (79%) and a high probability score increase the likelihood of a short-term move.
▲ The 15M shows a bullish bias, indicating early momentum that could support the 2H bounce.
▲ The nearest resistance at 9.06000 is not far above, offering a clear target for a bounce attempt.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H) are in solid bearish trends, which could overpower the 2H counter-trend bounce.
▼ The 30M, 1H, and 2H trends are still bearish (trend forming), so the bullish signals may be premature.
▼ If price fails to hold above the 8.00000 support, the bullish signals would be invalidated and downside could resume.
▼ The choppy/sideways nature on the 15M and 4H suggests low conviction, and momentum could fade quickly.