DOT/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY 3× UPDATED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +1.16 %
Entry
0.9450
Target
1.0430 +10.37 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.8690 −8.04 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 7 of 12
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,958 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,958 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
31 % at target avg +2.60 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.76 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.79 % 21 % at stop avg −3.71 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 10 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 31 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, WILLR OS Exit, SMI Signal Cross Up +6 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
67.1 % – vs previous candle
VERY STRONG Swing
▲ Bullish 95 % (42.81) ▼ Bearish 5 % (2.30)
model score 94.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 7 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 21.4 % vs 31.9 % on average · stopped out 26.8 % vs 22.6 % (crypto, 2,989 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
DOT/USDT  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Events for DOT/USDT

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDISM Non-Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 69.5Previous 74.0in 23m
  • TodayUSDISM Non-Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 55.2Previous 54.9in 23m
  • TodayUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●in 53m

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 7 × 4h 95%
conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 12:02 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 2.00
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 1.94
▲ SMI Signal Cross Up indicator 1.76
▼ ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down indicator 1.68
▲ TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 1.68
▲ CCI OS Exit indicator 1.63
▲ KDJ Cross Up indicator 1.61
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.56
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.44
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.40
▼ DX Trend Weak indicator 1.28
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 1.08

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bullish momentum signals on 4H suggest a potential bounce, but the higher timeframe trend is still bearish.
  • Key resistance at 1.04300 is the immediate upside hurdle; a break above could open further upside.
  • Support at 0.86900 is critical — losing it invalidates the bullish setup.
  • This is a counter-trend move, so position sizing and tight risk management are advised.
The 4H DOT/USDT signal fires a cluster of bullish momentum oscillators — BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, and KDJ Cross Up — suggesting that selling pressure is exhausting and a short-term bounce is underway. The signal's strong probability (78%) is reinforced by the breadth of the setup: multiple independent indicator groups (candlestick and indicator) aligning for a buy. However, the higher timeframes (2H through 1D) remain bearish, which means this is a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 1.04300 is the immediate upside target, while support at 0.86900 is the key level to hold for the bounce to remain valid.

Trend alignment is mixed: the 15m to 1H timeframes are bullish, albeit choppy, while the 2H to 1D are bearish. This divergence suggests the bounce is likely corrective, not a reversal. The signal's strength is high, but the conflicting higher timeframe trend argues for caution. Traders should watch whether price can reclaim the 1.04300 resistance to signal a stronger shift, or if it fails and rolls over back toward 0.86900 support. A break below 0.86900 would invalidate the bullish setup and confirm the larger downtrend's continuation.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple momentum oscillators (BOP, CCI, STOCHF, WILLR, BBANDS, KDJ) all fired bullish signals simultaneously.
  • ▲ The signal's probability is high (78%) with strong strength, indicating broad indicator confluence.
  • ▲ The 15m to 1H timeframes are bullish, providing short-term trend alignment for the bounce.
  • ▲ Price is near support at 0.86900, which could act as a launchpad for a rebound.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The 2H through 1D timeframes are bearish, suggesting the bounce may be corrective and fade.
  • ▼ Resistance at 1.04300 is a nearby barrier that could cap upside.
  • ▼ If momentum fades and price breaks below 0.86900, the bullish signal is invalidated and the downtrend resumes.
  • ▼ Choppy/sideways readings on 30m and 1h indicate a lack of strong trend conviction, which could lead to false signals.
Symbol DOT/USDT
Timeframe 4H
Direction BUY
Conviction 95%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-03 08:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.04300 2026-10-28
R2 1.20300 2026-10-23
R3 1.21300 2026-10-16
S1 0.86900 2026-10-30

Tags

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