LUNC/USDT – 8H – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-11-03 00:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +1.62 %

Entry

0.00004078

Target

0.00004674 +14.62 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.00003921 −3.85 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 4 of 10

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 52 of 100 crypto 8h signals ended in profit · on average −0.18 % per trade 1,074 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,074 closed crypto 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

26 % at target avg +3.93 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.24 % 27 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.54 % 21 % at stop avg −5.28 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 26 of 100 across all crypto 8h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: RSI OS Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up, KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat +2 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

49.6 % ↑ +5.0 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 100 % (9.63) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)

model score 42.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 4 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.8 % vs 31.9 % on average · stopped out 38.7 % vs 22.6 % (crypto, 2,072 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

Loading…

Signal evolution

Events for LUNC/USDT

Full calendar

13:15TodayUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 2h
15:00TodayUSDISM Non-Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 69.5Previous 74.0in 3h
15:00TodayUSDISM Non-Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 55.2Previous 54.9in 3h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 08:02 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	RSI OS Exit	indicator	1.86
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.17
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.11
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.06
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.03

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish indicator cluster on the 8H suggests a possible short-term bounce, but the higher timeframe trend is strongly bearish.
Resistance at 0.00005 and support at 0.00004 are the key levels to watch for direction.
A break below support invalidates the bounce and likely resumes the downtrend.
This is a counter-trend signal; consider it for short-term trades only, not as a trend reversal.

The LUN/CUSDT 8H chart has fired a cluster of bullish indicator signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, RSI exiting oversold territory, a stochastic cross up, and retreats from the lower Bollinger and Keltner bands. These signals suggest that downside momentum is exhausting and a technical bounce may be underway. However, the broader trend across higher timeframes remains firmly bearish, with the 8H, 12H, and 1D all showing very strong downtrends. The bullish signals are therefore counter-trend in nature, likely indicating a corrective move rather than a trend reversal.

Key levels to monitor are resistance at 0.00005 and support at 0.00004. A sustained move above the resistance would be needed to challenge the bearish structure, while a break below support would invalidate the bounce and likely resume the downtrend. Given the strong bearish alignment on higher timeframes, traders should treat this signal as a potential short-term long opportunity within a larger downtrend, with strict risk management and close attention to the invalidation level.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple indicators align for a bullish bounce: BOP, RSI, stochastic, and band retreats.
▲ RSI and stochastic exiting oversold conditions often precede a short-term upward move.
▲ Price retreating from lower Bollinger and Keltner bands suggests selling pressure is easing.
▲ The 15-minute timeframe shows early bullish momentum, supporting an immediate bounce.

Risk Factors

▼ Strong bearish trends on 8H, 12H, and 1D argue against a sustained rally.
▼ A break below the 0.00004 support level would invalidate the bullish setup.
▼ The 30-minute and 1-hour timeframes are still bearish, indicating the bounce may be weak or short-lived.
▼ Counter-trend signals in a strong downtrend often fail; watch for momentum fading near resistance.