AUD/CAD – 1H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend NEW CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.35 %
Entry
0.97585
Target
0.98299 +0.73 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.97241 −0.35 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,632 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,632 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: DEMA Retreat Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, CCI Zero Cross Up +6 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.2 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 17.9 % vs 12.5 % (forex, 574 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/CAD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/CAD

Full calendar
  • TodayCADUnemployment Rate●●●Forecast 6.3%Previous 6.5%in 1h
  • TodayCADEmployment Change●●●Forecast -43.8KPrevious -68.3Kin 1h
  • TodayCADIvey PMI n.s.a.●●○Previous 61.9in 2h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 4 × 1h 4%
conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.62
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicator 1.52
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.49
▲ CCI Zero Cross Up indicator 1.44
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.41
▲ SMI Signal Cross Up indicator 1.41
▲ TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 1.39
▲ CTI OS Entry indicator 1.21
▲ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up indicator 1.14
▼ HT SINE Zero Cross Down indicator 0.94
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 0.93

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Intraday bullish momentum is firing on the 1H, but the higher-timeframe trend is firmly bearish — treat as a counter-trend bounce.
  • Watch the 0.98299 resistance; a rejection there would likely resume the downtrend.
  • Support at 0.97241 is the invalidation level — a break below cancels the bullish setup.
  • The 83% probability and strong signal strength are intraday-only; they do not override the daily bearish bias.
The AUD/CAD 1H signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish momentum oscillators — BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up, DEMA Retreat Up, and CTI OS Entry — alongside a candlestick group, suggesting an intraday bounce attempt within a broader bearish structure. The confluence of these indicators points to short-term buying pressure, but the higher timeframes remain predominantly bearish, with the 2H and 4H showing solid downtrends. This creates a classic counter-trend setup: the 1H bounce is likely corrective, and the nearest resistance at 0.98299 becomes a key ceiling where the rally could stall. Support at 0.97241 marks the lower boundary; a break below would invalidate the bullish case.

The trend alignment is mixed: the 15m is bullish but choppy, while the 30m and 1H are bearish, and the 2H/4H are solidly bearish. This means the buy signal is firing against the dominant higher-timeframe trend, reducing its reliability. Traders should treat this as a tactical long within a larger downtrend, watching for a rejection near resistance. The probability score of 83% and strong signal strength are compelling, but they reflect the intraday momentum, not a reversal of the daily trend. Key levels to monitor are 0.98299 on the upside and 0.97241 on the downside; a close above resistance could shift the bias, while a break below support would confirm continued bearish control.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Confluence of multiple momentum oscillators (BOP, CCI, STOCHF, BBANDS, DEMA) all crossing up simultaneously.
  • ▲ Strong signal strength and high probability score (83%) on the 1H timeframe.
  • ▲ Candlestick group adds confirmation to the indicator-based signals.
  • ▲ The 15m bullish momentum, though choppy, provides a short-term tailwind.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (2H, 4H) are in solid downtrends, which typically overwhelm 1H counter-trend signals.
  • ▼ The 30m and 1H are bearish, conflicting with the 15m bullishness and reducing alignment.
  • ▼ A break below the 0.97241 support would invalidate the bullish setup and likely trigger a sharper decline.
  • ▼ The bounce could stall at the 0.98299 resistance, especially if the broader bearish trend persists.
Symbol AUD/CAD
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 4%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-03 23:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.98299 2026-10-30
R2 0.98441 2026-10-30
R3 0.99067 2026-10-28
S1 0.97241 2026-11-03

Tags

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