AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-11-04 20:00 UTC 15 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.01 %

Entry

111.054

Target

109.568 +1.34 %

closes in profit

Stop

111.303 −0.22 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,949 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,949 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: DEMA Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

STRONG ⚡ Confluence +7% Scalping

▲ Bullish 23 % (2.99) ▼ Bearish 77 % (9.99)

model score 77.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 15.5 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 717 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:50TodayJPYBoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes●●○in 3h
00:30TomorrowAUDTrade Balance●●○Forecast $1.084BPrevious $0.495Bin 3h
23:30November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 5 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 20:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.85
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.84
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.74
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.65
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.57
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▲	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.34
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.91

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish signals on the 30M chart suggests a high-probability short-term sell opportunity.
The longer timeframes (8H and above) are bearish, aligning with the 30M sell signal, but the 15M-4H timeframes are bullish, creating a conflict.
Key levels to watch: resistance at 111.30300 and support at 109.56800.
A break below the support level would confirm the bearish move, while a close above resistance would invalidate the signal.

The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Bearish Harami candlestick pattern and multiple indicator crossovers such as BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, DEMA Retreat Down, and MIDPOINT Retreat Down. The confluence of these signals points to a short-term pullback within an otherwise bullish intraday trend. However, the longer timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) remain bearish, suggesting that the current 30M sell signal may be the start of a larger downside move if the price breaks below key support.

Trend alignment is mixed: the 15M through 4H timeframes are bullish, while the 8H and above are bearish. This creates a potential conflict, but the strong bearish signal cluster on the 30M timeframe suggests that the shorter-term bullish momentum is fading. The nearest resistance at 111.30300 is a key level to watch; a break below the nearest support at 109.56800 would confirm the bearish bias and open the door to a deeper decline. Traders should monitor price action around these levels for confirmation or invalidation.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple bearish indicator crossovers (BOP, STOCHRSI, DEMA, MIDPOINT) provide strong confluence.
▼ Bearish Harami candlestick pattern adds a classic reversal signal.
▼ Longer timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, supporting the potential for a larger downside move.
▼ Strong signal strength and high probability (77%) increase the likelihood of the trade playing out.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15M-4H timeframes are bullish, which could lead to a bounce or a continuation of the uptrend.
▲ If the price breaks above the nearest resistance at 111.30300, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
▲ The 30M signal may only be a short-term pullback within a broader bullish trend, so the downside may be limited.
▲ Momentum indicators like STOCH KD Cross Up could signal a temporary bounce, conflicting with the bearish cluster.