AUD/JPY – 8H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.78 %
Entry
110.346
Target
109.489 +0.78 %
closes in profit
Stop
111.564 −1.10 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price
So far 50 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 339 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 339 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.65 % 31 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.42 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.43 % 18 % at stop avg −0.62 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Double Top, Triple Top, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
AUD/JPY  ·  8H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar
  • November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 3 days
  • November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending y/y●●○Forecast -2.1%Previous -3.1%in 3 days
  • November 9, 2026JPYAdjusted Current Account●●○in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 6 × 8h 95%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ Double Topbreak + retest chart_pattern 3.01
▼ Triple Topbreak + retest chart_pattern 2.47
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.26
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.21
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.08
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 1.82
▼ STOCHRSI KD Cross Down indicator 1.79
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.68
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.65
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.55
▼ APO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.52
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 1.29
▼ Hanging Man candlestick 0.82

Trend Context

15M
UPSolid trend
30M
UPSolid trend
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bearish signals (Double/Triple Top, zero-line crosses, moving average retreats) align on the 8H chart.
  • Higher timeframes (1H to 1D) are bearish, supporting the sell signal, despite short-term bullishness on 15m/30m.
  • Key levels: resistance at 111.56400, support at 109.48900.
  • A break below support could accelerate downside; a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the setup.
The AUD/JPY 8H chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Double Top and Triple Top pattern, APO and BOP zero-line crosses down, and multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE). This confluence of chart patterns, indicators, and candlestick signals points to strong selling pressure. The overall trend is bearish across the higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D), although the 8H and above are choppy/sideways, indicating the move may be part of a broader range. The immediate downside target is the nearest support at 109.48900, while the nearest resistance at 111.56400 acts as a key barrier that must hold to maintain the bearish bias.

Shorter timeframes (15m, 30m) are still bullish, which could provide temporary bounces, but the dominant higher-timeframe trend is bearish. The alignment across multiple timeframes, combined with the sheer number of signals, suggests a high-probability sell setup. Traders should watch for a break below the support level to confirm further downside, or a reclaim of the resistance level to invalidate the bearish thesis.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of chart patterns (Double Top, Triple Top) and indicator signals (APO, BOP, STOCHRSI, DEMA/EMA retreats).
  • ▼ Bearish trend across 1H, 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes.
  • ▼ Strong signal strength (very_strong) with high probability.
  • ▼ Resistance at 111.56400 likely to cap upside, reinforcing the bearish bias.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Shorter timeframes (15m, 30m) are bullish, which could lead to temporary pullbacks or a reversal.
  • ▲ The 8H and higher timeframes are choppy/sideways, indicating the market may be range-bound rather than trending.
  • ▲ A break above the resistance at 111.56400 would invalidate the bearish signal.
  • ▲ Momentum could fade if the price fails to break below support, leading to a consolidation.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 8H
Direction SELL
Conviction 95%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-11-03 22:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 111.56400 2026-10-29
R2 112.61300 2026-09-18
R3 114.95600 2026-08-28
S1 109.48900 2026-10-23
S2 108.63400 2026-10-15

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