AUD/JPY – 8H – SELL
SELL 3× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: Double Top, Triple Top, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down +10 more
Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Events for AUD/JPY
Full calendar- November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 3 days
- November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending y/y●●○Forecast -2.1%Previous -3.1%in 3 days
- November 9, 2026JPYAdjusted Current Account●●○in 3 days
All times UTC.
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Double Topbreak + retest | chart_pattern | 3.01 |
| ▼ | Triple Topbreak + retest | chart_pattern | 2.47 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.26 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.21 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 2.08 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.82 |
| ▼ | STOCHRSI KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.79 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.68 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.65 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.55 |
| ▼ | APO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.52 |
| ▼ | TTM TREND Trend Down | indicator | 1.29 |
| ▼ | Hanging Man | candlestick | 0.82 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Multiple bearish signals (Double/Triple Top, zero-line crosses, moving average retreats) align on the 8H chart.
- Higher timeframes (1H to 1D) are bearish, supporting the sell signal, despite short-term bullishness on 15m/30m.
- Key levels: resistance at 111.56400, support at 109.48900.
- A break below support could accelerate downside; a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the setup.
Shorter timeframes (15m, 30m) are still bullish, which could provide temporary bounces, but the dominant higher-timeframe trend is bearish. The alignment across multiple timeframes, combined with the sheer number of signals, suggests a high-probability sell setup. Traders should watch for a break below the support level to confirm further downside, or a reclaim of the resistance level to invalidate the bearish thesis.
- ▼ Confluence of chart patterns (Double Top, Triple Top) and indicator signals (APO, BOP, STOCHRSI, DEMA/EMA retreats).
- ▼ Bearish trend across 1H, 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes.
- ▼ Strong signal strength (very_strong) with high probability.
- ▼ Resistance at 111.56400 likely to cap upside, reinforcing the bearish bias.
- ▲ Shorter timeframes (15m, 30m) are bullish, which could lead to temporary pullbacks or a reversal.
- ▲ The 8H and higher timeframes are choppy/sideways, indicating the market may be range-bound rather than trending.
- ▲ A break above the resistance at 111.56400 would invalidate the bearish signal.
- ▲ Momentum could fade if the price fails to break below support, leading to a consolidation.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 111.56400 | 2026-10-29 |
| R2 | 112.61300 | 2026-09-18 |
| R3 | 114.95600 | 2026-08-28 |
| S1 | 109.48900 | 2026-10-23 |
| S2 | 108.63400 | 2026-10-15 |