AVAX/USDT – 30M – BUY

BUY 10× UPDATED CLOSED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +3.50 %
Entry
8.4020
Target
8.6960 +3.50 %
closes in profit
Stop
8.2890 −1.34 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 13,400 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 13,400 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.08 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.09 % 24 % at stop avg −1.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Break Up, CCI OS Exit, KDJ Cross Up +3 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.4 % vs 31.9 % on average · stopped out 43.5 % vs 22.7 % (crypto, 4,050 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AVAX/USDT  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 5h
  • TomorrowUSDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.1%in 1 day
  • TomorrowUSDNonfarm Payrolls●●●Forecast 55KPrevious 29Kin 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 11 × 30m 94%
conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 04:03 UTC, updated 10× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ HMA Break Up indicator 2.05
▲ CCI OS Exit indicator 1.59
▲ KDJ Cross Up indicator 1.53
▲ TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 1.39
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.38
▲ HMA Direction Up indicator 1.36
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.22

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A strong 30-minute bullish signal cluster suggests a short-term bounce, but the overall trend is bearish across all timeframes.
  • Key resistance at 8.69600 is the immediate upside target; a break above could extend the move.
  • Support at 8.28900 is the invalidation level—if it breaks, the bullish setup is void.
  • This is likely a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend, so manage expectations and risk accordingly.
The AVA/USDT 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bullish signals, including CCI oversold exit, Bollinger Band lower-band retreat, Efficiency Ratio level cross up, KDJ cross up, HMA break and direction up, and TTM trend up. This confluence suggests a short-term bounce attempt within a broader bearish context, as all higher timeframes from 15m to 1d remain bearish. The 30m signal carries a very strong probability (86%) and strength, indicating that momentum is aligning for a potential upward move toward the nearest resistance at 8.69600.

However, the prevailing trend across all timeframes is bearish, with the 12h showing a solid downtrend. This means the bullish signals are counter-trend and likely represent a corrective bounce rather than a reversal. The nearest support at 8.28900 is critical; if price fails to hold above it, the bounce could quickly fade. Traders should watch for a break and hold above the resistance to confirm sustained upside, but should remain cautious given the strong higher-timeframe downtrend.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple indicators fire bullish simultaneously (CCI, BB, KDJ, HMA, TTM), showing strong momentum alignment.
  • ▲ The 30-minute signal has very high probability (86%) and strength, indicating robust technical confluence.
  • ▲ The bounce is occurring from the lower Bollinger Band, often a precursor to a mean-reversion move.
  • ▲ HMA break and direction up confirm a shift in short-term price action.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ All higher timeframes are bearish, so the bounce could be quickly overwhelmed by the prevailing downtrend.
  • ▼ The 12-hour timeframe shows a solid downtrend, adding weight to the bearish bias.
  • ▼ If price fails to hold above support at 8.28900, the bullish setup is invalidated.
  • ▼ Momentum could fade near resistance, leading to a reversal back down.
Symbol AVAX/USDT
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 94%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-04 03:30
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 8.69600 2026-11-03
R2 8.74000 2026-11-02
R3 9.06000 2026-11-01
S1 8.28900 2026-11-03
S2 8.27700 2026-11-02

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