AVAX/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-11-04 10:30 UTC 14 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.25 %

Entry

8.6940

Target

8.2810 +4.75 %

closes in profit

Stop

8.7400 −0.53 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 13,400 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 13,400 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.08 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.09 % 24 % at stop avg −1.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

57.9 % – first candle

MODERATE Scalping

▲ Bullish 28 % (6.45) ▼ Bearish 72 % (16.55)

model score 72.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

13:15TodayUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 1h
15:00TodayUSDISM Non-Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 69.5Previous 74.0in 3h
15:00TodayUSDISM Non-Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 55.2Previous 54.9in 3h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 11:02 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.45
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	2.20
▲	STC Level Cross Up	indicator	1.80
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.64
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.59
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.58
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.38
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.23
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.08
▼	ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.00

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple momentum and cycle indicators align for a short-term sell, but higher timeframes are still bullish, so the signal may be a pullback trade.
The bearish trend is strongest on the 12h chart, suggesting the 30m sell could be the start of a larger move down.
Watch the 8.28100 support: a break would confirm bearish continuation; a bounce could mean the sell is fading.
Resistance at 8.69600 is the key invalidation level; a move above it would negate the bearish setup.

A dense cluster of 15 sell signals fired on the 30-minute chart, led by momentum and oscillator crossovers (BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, STOCH OB Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Down) alongside cycle-based indicators (HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down, HT SINE Zero Cross Down) and trend filters (ER Level Cross Down, KDJ Cross Down). This broad confluence suggests a short-term bearish impulse is underway, with the signal probability at 72% and moderate strength. However, the immediate higher timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h, 2h) are still bullish, albeit with weak trend formation scores (1-2/5), indicating that the sell signal is counter to the prevailing short-term bias. The 4h and 8h timeframes are bearish, with the 12h showing a solid downtrend (3/5), which supports the idea that this is a pullback within a larger bearish structure. Key levels to watch are resistance at 8.69600 and support at 8.28100; a break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim above resistance would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of 15 sell signals across momentum, oscillator, and cycle indicators on the 30m chart.
▼ Higher timeframe alignment: 4h, 8h, 12h, and 1d are all bearish, with the 12h showing a solid trend (3/5).
▼ The sell signal fires from overbought exits (CCI, STOCH) and crossovers, which often precede downward moves.
▼ Nearest resistance at 8.69600 has not been tested recently, providing room for downside before any major hurdle.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15m, 30m, 1h, and 2h timeframes are still bullish, which could mean the sell signal is a temporary pullback within an uptrend.
▲ Trend strength on lower timeframes is weak (1-2/5), so the bearish momentum may lack conviction.
▲ If price holds above the 8.28100 support and bounces, the sell signal could fail, leading to a squeeze higher.
▲ A move above the 8.69600 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a reversal to the upside.