EUR/AUD – 30M – SELL

SELL Counter-trend 10× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-04 04:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.74 %

Entry

1.61594

Target

1.60399 +0.74 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.62345 −0.46 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,154 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,154 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: BOP Zero Cross Down, ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, SMI Signal Cross Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 13.8 % vs 12.5 % (forex, 983 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/AUD

Full calendar

07:00November 9, 2026EURTrade Balance●●○Forecast €17.6BPrevious €19.5Bin 2 days
07:00November 11, 2026EURCPI y/y●●●in 4 days
07:00November 11, 2026EURCPI m/m●●●in 4 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 04:30 UTC, updated 10× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CMO OB Exit	indicator	2.36
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	1.91
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.60
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.55
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	1.11
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	0.98

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signals on the 30-minute chart suggest a short-term pullback from overbought conditions.
All timeframes are bullish, creating a conflict; the pullback may be corrective within a larger uptrend.
Key support at 1.60399 is the level to watch; a break below could signal a deeper correction.
Signal strength is weak and probability is 60%, so treat this as a minor reversal signal, not a major trend change.

The EUR/AUD 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, CMO OB Exit, STOCH OB Exit, SMI Signal Cross Down, and a ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, alongside a Bearish Harami and a Spinning Top candlestick pattern. These signals point to a potential short-term pullback or reversal from overbought conditions. However, the broader trend across all timeframes from 15 minutes to 1 day is bullish, with solid trend scores on the lower timeframes and forming trends on higher ones. This creates a conflict: the bearish signals are counter to the prevailing bullish bias, suggesting the move may be corrective rather than a full trend reversal.

Key levels to watch include the nearest support at 1.60399, which could act as a floor for the pullback. If price holds above this level, the bullish trend may resume; a break below could signal a deeper correction. The strength of the signal is weak, and the probability is only 60%, so traders should exercise caution. The confluence of multiple overbought indicators and bearish candlestick patterns on the 30-minute timeframe suggests a short-term downside move, but the bullish higher timeframe alignment argues against a sustained sell-off. Monitoring price action around the support level will be crucial to gauge whether this is a dip-buying opportunity or the start of a larger reversal.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple overbought indicators (CMO, STOCH, ZSCORE) align, increasing the likelihood of a short-term mean reversion.
▼ Bearish candlestick patterns (Bearish Harami, Spinning Top) confirm the reversal signal.
▼ The BOP Zero Cross Down and SMI Signal Cross Down add technical confluence to the bearish case.
▼ The nearest resistance is absent, but the proximity to the 1.60399 support provides a clear target for the pullback.

Risk Factors

▲ The bullish trend across all timeframes, especially the solid trend on 15m and 30m, could overpower the bearish signals and lead to a quick bounce.
▲ The weak signal strength and low probability (60%) mean the bearish move may be shallow and short-lived.
▲ If price fails to break below the 1.60399 support, the bearish setup could fail, and the uptrend may resume.
▲ Higher timeframe bullish trends (1h and above) are forming, which could provide strong buying pressure and invalidate the sell signal.